ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Tampa vs Tulum: weather in October
Tampa is the clear winner for sun in October: 41% of days historically clear versus just 11% in Tulum — a 30-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Tulum also sees measurably more rain than Tampa this month (70% vs 32% of days). This isn't close.
Tampa
FL
- Clear days, October
- 41%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 84°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 32%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 50%
- Rain frequency
- 32% of days
Tulum
Mexico
- Clear days, October
- 11%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 86°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 6%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 16%
- Rain frequency
- 70% of days
Frequently asked
Is Tampa or Tulum warmer in October?
Tulum runs warmer by day in October. Tampa averages highs of 84°F (highs n=248 days); Tulum averages highs of 86°F (highs n=248 days) (ERA5 2018–2025). Historical averages, not a forecast.
Does it rain more in Tampa or Tulum in October?
Tulum is measurably wetter than Tampa. Days with measurable rain: Tampa 32%, Tulum 70% (n=248 and n=248 days). ERA5 2018–2025; historical, not a forecast.
Which is sunnier in October, Tampa or Tulum?
Tampa is the clear winner for sun in October: 41% of days historically clear versus just 11% in Tulum — a 30-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Tulum also sees measurably more rain than Tampa this month (70% vs 32% of days). This isn't close.
Compare Tampa vs Tulum in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live forecast for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.