Tampa weather this week

The next 7 days in Tampa

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 7 days (26%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Mon 10 Aug–Wed 12 Aug: 6.1/10 for those days alone. The 7-day outlook score (6.3) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

How this week got its score

• 7 forecast days: 1 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 6 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
• Trimmed mean of day scores 7.0 × 0.55 = 3.87
• Worst day drag: worst day is 6.3 × 0.25 = 1.57 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
• Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 3/7 = 43% coverage × 0.20 = 0.86
• Best single day is 9.0 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
• Advertised 3-day window (2026-08-10→2026-08-12) scores 6.1 on its own.
• Legacy gate counted 6/7 days as "perfect sun"; this model counts 1 genuinely clear.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Tampa

The nearest airport we price is TPA. From New York City that is about 2h 30m in the air out of EWR, 998 miles. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Tampa

3 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.

• ROOST Tampa

  4-star · guest rating 9.6/10

  Photos, room types & amenities →
  $427per night$1,280 total
• Hotel Haya

  4-star · guest rating 9.0/10

  Photos, room types & amenities →
  $146per night$438 total
• Hotel Flor Tampa Downtown, Tapestry Collection By Hilton

  4-star · guest rating 9.0/10 · Tapestry Collection

  Photos, room types & amenities →
  $214per night$643 total

So, should you go?

Tampa scores 6.3 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 7. Dull days (6) still outnumber bright ones (1), so this is not a good week. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.

Tampa by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Tampa in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.