ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Tampa vs Tulum: weather in April
Tampa edges out Tulum for sun in April: 54% clear historically versus 30% (8-year ERA5 average, a 24-point gap). Both are viable — Tampa is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific April. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Tampa
FL
- Clear days, April
- 54%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 83°F
- Early April (1st–15th)
- 48%
- Late April (16th–end)
- 61%
- Rain frequency
- 30% of days
Tulum
MX
- Clear days, April
- 30%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 86°F
- Early April (1st–15th)
- 30%
- Late April (16th–end)
- 30%
Compare Tampa vs Tulum in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.