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SunnyDays

ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data

Maui in February

Maui in February: 61% of days see measurable rain, 71°F average high, 16% of days historically clear (n=226, ERA5 2018–2025).

Maui in February is historically a poor month for sun: only 16% of days clear across 8 years (n=226, avg high 71°F). August is the clearest month for Maui historically. Historical average, not a forecast.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis, not a forecast. A month that is historically 90% clear can still be overcast on your specific trip. For this week’s actual forecast, see the live Maui page. Both can be true at once: “historically strong in this month; this particular week is not.” We label which is which.

Early vs. Late February

Clear-sky percentage for Maui in February, split by half-month. “n” is the number of days sampled across 8 years (2018–2025).
Period % Clear days Sample (n) Avg high
Early February
1st–15th		 16% n=120 71°F
Late February
16th–end		 16% n=106 71°F
Full month average 16% n=226 71°F

Sunshine & warmth in February

A second measure using actual sunshine hours (ERA5 sunshine_duration), not the daily weather code. A Lowcountry day with 12 hours of sun and a 25-minute afternoon storm is counted below as a warm, sunny day — because it was. How we define this.

Sunshine-based metrics for Maui in February. Primary: % of days ≥ 72°F with > 6 h of sunshine.
Period Warm & sunny (≥72°F, >6 h sun) Sample (n)
Early February
1st–15th		 44% n=120
Late February
16th–end		 53% n=106
Full month average 48% n=226
10.9 h median sunshine per day 85% of days exceed 8 h sunshine 61% of days see ≥ 1 mm rain — rain is not hidden
Comparison (old vs new): WMO-code “clear” bar: 16%. Sunshine-based “warm & sunny”: 48%. The 32-point gap is from brief afternoon convective storms that stamp the whole day as “rain” in the WMO code but leave the bulk of the sunshine untouched.

Bottom line

Maui is a poor choice for sun in February: just 16% of days clear historically (n=226). August is the historically strongest month for sun here. The 8-year record is consistent — this is not a fluke bad stretch.

→ See all destinations in August — historically the best month for sun in Maui.

Every month in Maui

Compare across all months with data. Numbers are historical clear-sky %.

Historical clear-sky % for Maui, all months, ERA5 2018–2025.
Month % Clear Sample (n)
January 25% n=248 All destinations →
February ← this page 16% n=226 All destinations →
March 15% n=248 All destinations →
April 19% n=240 All destinations →
May 26% n=248 All destinations →
June 40% n=240 All destinations →
July 33% n=248 All destinations →
August 43% n=248 All destinations →
September 34% n=240 All destinations →
October 28% n=248 All destinations →
November 30% n=240 All destinations →
December 30% n=248 All destinations →

Frequently asked

Does it rain in Maui in February?

Yes, frequently. In Maui, 61% of days in February see measurable rain, based on 8 years of ERA5 historical data (n=226 days, 2018–2025). This is a historical average, not a forecast.

Is Maui good for sun in February?

Not usually. Maui is historically overcast in February: only 16% of days are clear (avg high 71°F, n=226 days, ERA5 2018–2025). August is historically far better for sun here.

How Maui compares in February

Head-to-head clear-sky comparisons against destinations travelers plausibly weigh against Maui this month — same passport tier, similar flight distance, both sides from the same 8-year ERA5 record.

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.