ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Honolulu vs Maui: weather in February
Honolulu edges out Maui for sun in February: 24% clear historically versus 16% (8-year ERA5 average, a 8-point gap). Both are viable — Honolulu is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific February. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Honolulu
HI
- Clear days, February
- 24%
- Sample size
- n=226 days
- Avg high
- 77°F
- Early February (1st–15th)
- 28%
- Late February (16th–end)
- 19%
Maui
HI
- Clear days, February
- 16%
- Sample size
- n=226 days
- Avg high
- 71°F
- Early February (1st–15th)
- 16%
- Late February (16th–end)
- 16%
Compare Honolulu vs Maui in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.