ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Phoenix vs Tulum: weather in November
Phoenix is the clear winner for sun in November: 63% of days historically clear versus just 20% in Tulum — a 43-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Tulum also sees measurably more rain than Phoenix this month (52% vs 7% of days). This isn't close.
Phoenix
AZ
- Clear days, November
- 63%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 77°F
- Early November (1st–15th)
- 78%
- Late November (16th–end)
- 48%
- Rain frequency
- 7% of days
Tulum
Mexico
- Clear days, November
- 20%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 84°F
- Early November (1st–15th)
- 12%
- Late November (16th–end)
- 27%
- Rain frequency
- 52% of days
Frequently asked
Is Phoenix or Tulum warmer in November?
Tulum runs warmer by day in November. Phoenix averages highs of 77°F (highs n=240 days); Tulum averages highs of 84°F (highs n=240 days) (ERA5 2018–2025). Historical averages, not a forecast.
Does it rain more in Phoenix or Tulum in November?
Tulum is measurably wetter than Phoenix. Days with measurable rain: Phoenix 7%, Tulum 52% (n=240 and n=240 days). ERA5 2018–2025; historical, not a forecast.
Which is sunnier in November, Phoenix or Tulum?
Phoenix is the clear winner for sun in November: 63% of days historically clear versus just 20% in Tulum — a 43-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Tulum also sees measurably more rain than Phoenix this month (52% vs 7% of days). This isn't close.
Compare Phoenix vs Tulum in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live forecast for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.