ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Carmel-by-the-Sea vs Mexico City: weather in June
Mexico City edges out Carmel-by-the-Sea for sun in June: 18% clear historically versus 4% (8-year ERA5 average, a 14-point gap). Mexico City also sees measurably more rain than Carmel-by-the-Sea this month (62% vs 2% of days). Both are viable — Mexico City is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific June. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Carmel-by-the-Sea
CA
- Clear days, June
- 4%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 62°F
- Early June (1st–15th)
- 5%
- Late June (16th–end)
- 2%
- Rain frequency
- 2% of days
Mexico City
MX
- Clear days, June
- 18%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 78°F
- Early June (1st–15th)
- 22%
- Late June (16th–end)
- 13%
- Rain frequency
- 62% of days
Compare Carmel-by-the-Sea vs Mexico City in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.