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California · MRY

Carmel-by-the-Sea weather this week

Carmel-by-the-Sea, California Just your ID

Carmel-by-the-Sea scores 9.3 out of 10 and has 5 genuinely clear days out of 16.

9.3/10
Genuinely clear
5 genuinely clear days, 1 partly cloudy, 2 overcast, 0 wet, 0 stormy — out of 16 forecast days.
Bright days 6 vs dull days 2. Bright wins.
Our model tiers this window Perfect, and the clear-day count supports that.

8-day window, zero rain — Sunshine, day after day — 8-days run, 5 genuinely clear, 1 partly cloudy, 91°F

The next 16 days in Carmel-by-the-Sea

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (7%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Mon 28 Sep–Mon 5 Oct: 9.3/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (9.3) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Carmel-by-the-Sea daily forecast, Wed 23 Sep to Thu 8 Oct (16 days total). Best single day scores 10.0; worst scores 7.0. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
68°F 54°F 1% Fog cloudy 7.0
Hazy, 68°F — give it an hour.
65°F 56°F 1% Fog cloudy 7.0
Hazy, 65°F — give it an hour.
68°F 54°F 0% Fog cloudy 7.0
Hazy, 68°F — give it an hour.
66°F 53°F 0% Overcast cloudy 7.8
Overcast, 66°F, toasty with a lid on.
65°F 54°F 0% Overcast cloudy 7.7
Overcast, 65°F, toasty with a lid on.
74°F 54°F 1% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 74°F, dry as a bone.
91°F 66°F 2% Clear clear 9.6
Clear skies, 91°F — sunscreen is not optional.
87°F 61°F 2% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 87°F, zero drama.
80°F 56°F 4% Mainly clear clear 9.8
Clear skies, 80°F, zero drama.
71°F 52°F 1% Overcast cloudy 8.4
Overcast, 71°F, dry as a bone.
82°F 52°F 1% Partly cloudy partly 9.3
Partly cloudy, 82°F, not a drop of rain.
80°F 56°F 6% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 80°F, zero drama.
74°F 52°F 7% Mainly clear clear 9.8
Clear skies, 74°F, zero drama.
66°F 54°F 0% Overcast cloudy 7.8
Overcast, 66°F, toasty with a lid on.
72°F 56°F 3% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 72°F, dry as a bone.
84°F 60°F 0% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 84°F, dry as a bone.

How this week got its score

  • 8 forecast days: 5 clear/mainly clear, 1 partly cloudy, 2 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 9.5 × 0.55 = 5.23
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 8.4 × 0.25 = 2.10 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 8/8 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
  • Best single day is 10.0 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Carmel-by-the-Sea

The nearest airport we price is MRY. From New York City that is about 5h 36m in the air out of SWF, 2551 miles. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Carmel-by-the-Sea

We hold no live hotel rates for Carmel-by-the-Sea right now, so there is nothing honest to show here. Rates return as soon as the supplier does — the refresh state is on system status.

So, should you go?

Carmel-by-the-Sea scores 9.3 out of 10 and has 5 genuinely clear days out of 16. That holds up. Check the daily rows above for which specific days carry the sun, and price it from your own airport.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Carmel-by-the-Sea this week?

No. The current 16-day forecast for Carmel-by-the-Sea shows no rain or storm days, peaking at 7% chance on the worst day. Cloud is not the dealbreaker here — rain is, and none is forecast.

How many clear days does Carmel-by-the-Sea have this week?

5. Carmel-by-the-Sea has 5 genuinely clear days out of the next 16.

Is Carmel-by-the-Sea good for a trip this week?

Yes. Carmel-by-the-Sea scores 9.3/10 with 5 genuinely clear days out of 16 — bright days outnumber dull ones.

Carmel-by-the-Sea by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Carmel-by-the-Sea: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 1% n=248 all destinations →
February 3% n=226 all destinations →
March 1% n=248 all destinations →
April 1% n=240 all destinations →
May 0% n=248 all destinations →
June 4% n=240 all destinations →
July 1% n=248 all destinations →
August 4% n=248 all destinations →
September 10% n=240 all destinations →
October 16% n=248 all destinations →
November 3% n=240 all destinations →
December 1% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Carmel-by-the-Sea in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-09-24T02:07:50.537610Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.