ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Cancún vs Phoenix: weather in November
Phoenix is the clear winner for sun in November: 63% of days historically clear versus just 15% in Cancún — a 48-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Cancún also sees measurably more rain than Phoenix this month (58% vs 7% of days). This isn't close.
Cancún
Mexico
- Clear days, November
- 15%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 82°F
- Early November (1st–15th)
- 8%
- Late November (16th–end)
- 22%
- Rain frequency
- 58% of days
Phoenix
AZ
- Clear days, November
- 63%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 77°F
- Early November (1st–15th)
- 78%
- Late November (16th–end)
- 48%
- Rain frequency
- 7% of days
Frequently asked
Is Cancún or Phoenix warmer in November?
Cancún runs warmer by day in November. Cancún averages highs of 82°F (highs n=240 days); Phoenix averages highs of 77°F (highs n=240 days) (ERA5 2018–2025). Historical averages, not a forecast.
Does it rain more in Cancún or Phoenix in November?
Cancún is measurably wetter than Phoenix. Days with measurable rain: Cancún 58%, Phoenix 7% (n=240 and n=240 days). ERA5 2018–2025; historical, not a forecast.
Which is sunnier in November, Cancún or Phoenix?
Phoenix is the clear winner for sun in November: 63% of days historically clear versus just 15% in Cancún — a 48-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Cancún also sees measurably more rain than Phoenix this month (58% vs 7% of days). This isn't close.
Compare Cancún vs Phoenix in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live forecast for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.