ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Cancún vs Miami: weather in June
Cancún edges out Miami for sun in June: 10% clear historically versus 2% (8-year ERA5 average, a 8-point gap). Both are viable — Cancún is the safer bet.
Cancún
Mexico
- Clear days, June
- 10%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 86°F
- Early June (1st–15th)
- 11%
- Late June (16th–end)
- 8%
- Rain frequency
- 62% of days
Miami
FL
- Clear days, June
- 2%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 86°F
- Early June (1st–15th)
- 2%
- Late June (16th–end)
- 3%
- Rain frequency
- 76% of days
Frequently asked
Is Cancún or Miami warmer in June?
Equally warm by day in June. Cancún averages highs of 86°F (highs n=240 days); Miami averages highs of 86°F (highs n=240 days) (ERA5 2018–2025). Historical averages, not a forecast.
Does it rain more in Cancún or Miami in June?
Days with measurable rain: Cancún 62%, Miami 76% (n=240 and n=240 days). ERA5 2018–2025; historical, not a forecast.
Which is sunnier in June, Cancún or Miami?
Cancún edges out Miami for sun in June: 10% clear historically versus 2% (8-year ERA5 average, a 8-point gap). Both are viable — Cancún is the safer bet.
Compare Cancún vs Miami in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live forecast for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.