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SunnyDays

Florida · MIA

Miami weather, next 16 days

Miami, Florida Just your ID

Miami scores 9.1 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 16. Dull days (14) still outnumber bright ones (2), so this is not a good run of weather.

9.1/10
Mostly dull
1 genuinely clear day, 1 partly cloudy, 6 overcast, 8 wet-sky, out of 16 forecast days. Rain is in the hourly forecast on 11 days (149h).
Bright days 2 vs dull days 14. Dull wins, so we do not call this a good forecast.
We are not showing a flattering tier word here. Why the score and the sky can disagree.

The model gives this forecast 9.1 out of 10 because it is warm and largely rain-free, and those are the two things the score measures. It is not measuring sunshine. With 1 genuinely clear day and 14 dull ones, expect grey skies. We are showing you the number and the contradiction rather than only the number.

4-day run 15–18 Nov, zero rain · 1 clear, rain on 11 of 16 forecast days (149h) — The clouds are winning — 1 clear day out of 4 plus 1 partly cloudy, 78°F · 4-day run 15–18 Nov; rain on 11 of the other 12 days (149h)

The next 16 days in Miami

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (56%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Sun 15 Nov–Wed 18 Nov: 9.1/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (9.1) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Miami daily forecast, Sun 8 Nov to Mon 23 Nov (16 days total). Best single day scores 10.0; worst scores 5.0. A lone good day cannot carry the forecast.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
82°F 72°F 12% Rain cloudy 5.0
Overcast, 82°F — but 3 hours of rain are in the forecast.
80°F 70°F 9% Drizzle cloudy 6.2
Overcast, 80°F — but 1 hour of rain is in the forecast.
82°F 72°F 6% Light drizzle cloudy 7.0
Overcast, 82°F — rain overnight only (1 hour), dry while you're up.
81°F 79°F 17% Rain showers wet 6.6
Rain showers, 81°F — it'll pass — but 10 hours of rain are in the forecast.
85°F 76°F 27% Rain showers wet 6.6
Rain showers, 85°F — it'll pass — but 7 hours of rain are in the forecast.
78°F 66°F 21% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 78°F — it'll pass — but 3 hours of rain are in the forecast.
68°F 60°F 3% Overcast cloudy 8.0
Overcast, 68°F, toasty with a lid on.
71°F 58°F 4% Partly cloudy partly 9.2
Partly cloudy, 71°F, not a drop of rain.
74°F 65°F 8% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 74°F, zero drama.
76°F 69°F 15% Overcast cloudy 8.4
Overcast, 76°F, dry as a bone.
78°F 73°F 15% Overcast cloudy 8.4
Overcast, 78°F, dry as a bone.
79°F 75°F 52% Light drizzle wet 6.2
Light drizzle, 79°F — it'll pass — but 16 hours of rain are in the forecast.
78°F 75°F 46% Light drizzle wet 6.4
Light drizzle, 78°F — it'll pass — but 16 hours of rain are in the forecast.
79°F 75°F 48% Light drizzle wet 6.4
Light drizzle, 79°F — it'll pass — but 16 hours of rain are in the forecast.
79°F 74°F 56% Rain showers wet 5.9
Rain showers, 79°F — it'll pass — but 16 hours of rain are in the forecast.
82°F 73°F 52% Light drizzle wet 6.2
Light drizzle, 82°F — it'll pass — but 16 hours of rain are in the forecast.

How this forecast got its score

  • 4 forecast days: 1 clear/mainly clear, 1 partly cloudy, 2 overcast or foggy, 0 with a drizzle/rain/snow sky code, 0 stormy (sky codes; rain hours below).
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 9.0 × 0.55 = 4.95
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 8.4 × 0.25 = 2.10 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 4/4 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
  • Best single day is 10.0 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
  • Hourly forecast: no rain hours in any of the 4 days.
  • Whole 16-day forecast: 1 clear, 1 partly cloudy, 6 overcast or foggy, 8 with a rain sky code, 0 with a storm sky code; rain hours on 11 of them (149h).

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad run, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Miami

The nearest airport we price is MIA. From New York City the fastest itinerary we have seen out of LGA takes 3h 12m (verified, Duffel), nonstop. Then about 10m to drive from MIA (est. 6 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: ~3h 22m (estimated: the drive is a road model). Flight times from 56 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Miami

We hold no live hotel rates for Miami right now, so there is nothing honest to show here. Rates return as soon as the supplier does — the refresh state is on system status.

Hotels: best time to visit and prices by month

Hotels in Miami with enough price history for a month-by-month page: weather by half-month and the nightly rates our searches have observed.

So, should you go?

Miami scores 9.1 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 16. Dull days (14) still outnumber bright ones (2), so this is not a good run of weather. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Miami in the next 16 days?

Yes. 11 of the next 16 days in Miami have rain in the forecast (149 forecast rain hours), peaking at 56% chance on the worst day. The run we list, Sun 15 Nov to Wed 18 Nov, is the stretch that clears our rain bar.

How many clear days does Miami have in the next 16 days?

One. Miami has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 16.

Is Miami good for a trip right now?

Marginal. Miami scores 9.1/10, but dull days (14) still outnumber bright ones (2) over the next 16 days.

Miami by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 16-day forecast above is what is actually coming. They can and do differ.

Miami: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 28% n=248 all destinations →
February 26% n=226 all destinations →
March 32% n=248 all destinations →
April 27% n=240 all destinations →
May 20% n=248 all destinations →
June 2% n=240 all destinations →
July 6% n=248 all destinations →
August 2% n=248 all destinations →
September 4% n=240 all destinations →
October 11% n=248 all destinations →
November 25% n=240 all destinations →
December 28% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Miami in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-11-08T19:01:51.774642Z. Hotel names and rates come from third-party supplier data and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.