ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Cancún vs Miami: weather in February
Essentially a tie in February: Cancún is 22% clear historically, Miami is 26% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 81°F vs 77°F. Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
Cancún
Mexico
- Clear days, February
- 22%
- Sample size
- n=226 days
- Avg high
- 81°F
- Early February (1st–15th)
- 18%
- Late February (16th–end)
- 27%
- Rain frequency
- 42% of days
Miami
FL
- Clear days, February
- 26%
- Sample size
- n=226 days
- Avg high
- 77°F
- Early February (1st–15th)
- 28%
- Late February (16th–end)
- 23%
- Rain frequency
- 46% of days
Frequently asked
Is Cancún or Miami warmer in February?
Cancún runs warmer by day in February. Cancún averages highs of 81°F (highs n=226 days); Miami averages highs of 77°F (highs n=226 days) (ERA5 2018–2025). Historical averages, not a forecast.
Does it rain more in Cancún or Miami in February?
Days with measurable rain: Cancún 42%, Miami 46% (n=226 and n=226 days). ERA5 2018–2025; historical, not a forecast.
Which is sunnier in February, Cancún or Miami?
Essentially a tie in February: Cancún is 22% clear historically, Miami is 26% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 81°F vs 77°F. Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
Compare Cancún vs Miami in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live forecast for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.