ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data

Algarve in October

Algarve in October: rain frequency data not yet backfilled for this month, 75°F average high, 53% of days historically clear (n=248, ERA5 2018–2025).

Algarve in October is a mixed month for sun: 53% of days historically clear (n=248, avg high 75°F). The outcome varies year to year — check the early/late split below. Historical average, not a forecast.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis, not a forecast. A month that is historically 90% clear can still be overcast on your specific trip. For this week’s actual forecast, see the live Algarve page. Both can be true at once: “historically strong in this month; this particular week is not.” We label which is which.

Early vs. Late October

Clear-sky percentage for Algarve in October, split by half-month. “n” is the number of days sampled across 8 years (2018–2025).
Period	% Clear days	Sample (n)	Avg high
Early October 1st–15th	77%	n=120	75°F
Late October 16th–end	30%	n=128	75°F
Full month average	53%	n=248	75°F

Bottom line

Algarve in October is genuinely mixed: 53% of days historically clear (n=248), avg high 75°F — roughly even odds. The two halves differ materially (77% early, 30% late) — favour the early half of the month. The outcome varies year to year; don't book if you need guaranteed sun.

Every month in Algarve

Compare across all months with data. Numbers are historical clear-sky %.

Historical clear-sky % for Algarve, all months, ERA5 2018–2025.
Month	% Clear	Sample (n)
January	0%	n=248	All destinations →
February	1%	n=226	All destinations →
March	5%	n=248	All destinations →
April	20%	n=240	All destinations →
May	57%	n=248	All destinations →
June	76%	n=240	All destinations →
July	98%	n=248	All destinations →
August	98%	n=248	All destinations →
September	80%	n=240	All destinations →
October ← this page	53%	n=248	All destinations →
November	4%	n=240	All destinations →
December	0%	n=248	All destinations →

Frequently asked

Is Algarve good for sun in October?

It's mixed. Algarve in October is clear on 53% of days historically (avg high 75°F, n=248 days, ERA5 2018–2025) — the outcome varies year to year.

→ Algarve live forecast — this week’s actual 7-day weather, not historical
→ Best destinations in October — all destinations ranked by October clear-sky %
→ All destinations
→ Raw data (JSON) — buckets, n, source

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.