PT · FAO
Algarve weather this week
Algarve scores 8.8 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 7. Dull days (6) still outnumber bright ones (1), so this is not a good week.
The model gives this week 8.8 out of 10 because it is warm and largely rain-free, and those are the two things the score measures. It is not measuring sunshine. With 1 genuinely clear day and 6 dull ones, expect grey skies. We are showing you the number and the contradiction rather than only the number.
1 clear of 7 days · best run 7 days — The clouds are winning — 1 clear day out of 7, 82°F
The next 7 days in Algarve
Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 7 days (16%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.
Booking window Fri 14 Aug–Sun 16 Aug: 9.1/10 for those days alone. The 7-day outlook score (8.8) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.
| Day | High | Low | Rain chance | Sky | Day score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82°F | 70°F | 0% | Clear clear | 10.0 Clear and perfect |
|
| 79°F | 68°F | 0% | Overcast cloudy | 8.5 Cloudy but warm & dry |
|
| 79°F | 68°F | 0% | Overcast cloudy | 8.5 Cloudy but warm & dry |
|
| 82°F | 70°F | 16% | Overcast cloudy | 8.3 Cloudy but warm & dry |
|
| 76°F | 69°F | 5% | Overcast cloudy | 8.5 Cloudy but warm & dry |
|
| 77°F | 67°F | 5% | Overcast cloudy | 8.5 Cloudy but warm & dry |
|
| 77°F | 69°F | 0% | Overcast cloudy | 8.5 Cloudy but warm & dry |
How this week got its score
- 7 forecast days: 1 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 6 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
- Trimmed mean of day scores 8.5 × 0.55 = 4.68
- Worst day drag: worst day is 8.3 × 0.25 = 2.08 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
- Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 7/7 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
- Best single day is 10.0 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
- Advertised 3-day window (2026-08-14→2026-08-16) scores 9.1 on its own.
- Legacy gate counted 7/7 days as "perfect sun"; this model counts 1 genuinely clear.
The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.
Getting to Algarve
The nearest airport we price is FAO. From New York City that is about 7h 22m in the air out of ISP, 3430 miles. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.
Where to stay in Algarve
15 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.
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$741per night$2,224 total
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$383per night$1,150 total
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$221per night$663 total
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$353per night$1,060 total
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$1,083per night$3,250 total
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$446per night$1,338 total
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$349per night$1,048 total
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$452per night$1,354 total
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$171per night$514 total
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$360per night$1,081 total
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$390per night$1,169 total
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$916per night$2,747 total
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$665per night$1,995 total
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$579per night$1,736 total
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$246per night$739 total
So, should you go?
Algarve scores 8.8 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 7. Dull days (6) still outnumber bright ones (1), so this is not a good week. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.
Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-08-14T05:01:09.686221Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.