ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data
Algarve in May
Algarve in May: 10% of days see measurable rain, 75°F average high, 57% of days historically clear (n=248, ERA5 2018–2025).
Algarve in May is a mixed month for sun: 57% of days historically clear (n=248, avg high 75°F). The outcome varies year to year — check the early/late split below. Historical average, not a forecast.
Early vs. Late May
| Period | % Clear days | Sample (n) | Avg high |
|---|---|---|---|
| Early May 1st–15th |
46% | n=120 | 75°F |
| Late May 16th–end |
68% | n=128 | 75°F |
| Full month average | 57% | n=248 | 75°F |
Sunshine & warmth in May
A second measure using actual sunshine hours (ERA5 sunshine_duration),
not the daily weather code. A Lowcountry day with 12 hours of sun and a
25-minute afternoon storm is counted below as a warm, sunny day —
because it was. How we define this.
| Period | Warm & sunny (≥72°F, >6 h sun) | Sample (n) |
|---|---|---|
| Early May 1st–15th |
48% | n=120 |
| Late May 16th–end |
71% | n=128 |
| Full month average | 60% | n=248 |
Bottom line
Algarve in May is genuinely mixed: 57% of days historically clear (n=248), avg high 75°F — more clear than cloudy. The two halves differ materially (46% early, 68% late) — favour the late half of the month. The outcome varies year to year; don't book if you need guaranteed sun.
Every month in Algarve
Compare across all months with data. Numbers are historical clear-sky %.
| Month | % Clear | Sample (n) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0% | n=248 | All destinations → |
| February | 1% | n=226 | All destinations → |
| March | 5% | n=248 | All destinations → |
| April | 20% | n=240 | All destinations → |
| May ← this page | 57% | n=248 | All destinations → |
| June | 76% | n=240 | All destinations → |
| July | 98% | n=248 | All destinations → |
| August | 98% | n=248 | All destinations → |
| September | 80% | n=240 | All destinations → |
| October | 53% | n=248 | All destinations → |
| November | 4% | n=240 | All destinations → |
| December | 0% | n=248 | All destinations → |
Frequently asked
Does it rain in Algarve in May?
Rarely. Only 10% of days in Algarve see measurable rain in May, based on 8 years of ERA5 historical data (n=248 days, 2018–2025). This is a historical average, not a forecast.
Is Algarve good for sun in May?
It's mixed. Algarve in May is clear on 57% of days historically (avg high 75°F, n=248 days, ERA5 2018–2025) — the outcome varies year to year.
How Algarve compares in May
Head-to-head clear-sky comparisons against destinations travelers plausibly weigh against Algarve this month — same passport tier, similar flight distance, both sides from the same 8-year ERA5 record.
- → Algarve vs Athens in May — Athens is 57% clear historically
- → Algarve vs Santorini in May — Santorini is 52% clear historically
- → Algarve vs Madrid in May — Madrid is 51% clear historically
Related pages
- → Algarve live forecast — this week’s actual 7-day weather, not historical
- → Best destinations in May — all destinations ranked by May clear-sky %
- → All destinations
- → Raw data (JSON) — buckets, n, source
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.