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SunnyDays

ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data

Vail in June

Vail in June is historically a poor month for sun: only 30% of days clear across 8 years (n=240, avg high 70°F). Historical average, not a forecast.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis, not a forecast. A month that is historically 90% clear can still be overcast on your specific trip. For this week’s actual forecast, see the live Vail page. Both can be true at once: “historically strong in this month; this particular week is not.” We label which is which.

Early vs. Late June

Clear-sky percentage for Vail in June, split by half-month. “n” is the number of days sampled across 8 years (2018–2025).
Period % Clear days Sample (n) Avg high
Early June
1st–15th
26% n=120 70°F
Late June
16th–end
33% n=120 70°F
Full month average 30% n=240 70°F

Sunshine & warmth in June

A second measure using actual sunshine hours (ERA5 sunshine_duration), not the daily weather code. A Lowcountry day with 12 hours of sun and a 25-minute afternoon storm is counted below as a warm, sunny day — because it was. How we define this.

Sunshine-based metrics for Vail in June. Primary: % of days ≥ 72°F with > 6 h of sunshine.
Period Warm & sunny (≥72°F, >6 h sun) Sample (n)
Early June
1st–15th
38% n=120
Late June
16th–end
51% n=120
Full month average 44% n=240
14.1 h median sunshine per day 98% of days exceed 8 h sunshine 25% of days see ≥ 1 mm rain — rain is not hidden
Comparison (old vs new): WMO-code “clear” bar: 30%. Sunshine-based “warm & sunny”: 44%. The 14-point gap is from brief afternoon convective storms that stamp the whole day as “rain” in the WMO code but leave the bulk of the sunshine untouched.

Bottom line

Vail is mostly overcast in June historically: only 30% of days are clear across 8 years (n=240), avg high 70°F. Most visitors this month will see more clouds than sun.

Every month in Vail

Compare across all months with data. Numbers are historical clear-sky %.

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.