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SunnyDays

ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data

St. Martin in May

St. Martin in May: 37% of days see measurable rain, 78°F average high, 24% of days historically clear (n=248, ERA5 2018–2025).

St. Martin in May is historically a poor month for sun: only 24% of days clear across 8 years (n=248, avg high 78°F). March is the clearest month for St. Martin historically. Historical average, not a forecast.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis, not a forecast. A month that is historically 90% clear can still be overcast on your specific trip. For this week’s actual forecast, see the live St. Martin page. Both can be true at once: “historically strong in this month; this particular week is not.” We label which is which.

Early vs. Late May

Clear-sky percentage for St. Martin in May, split by half-month. “n” is the number of days sampled across 8 years (2018–2025).
Period % Clear days Sample (n) Avg high
Early May
1st–15th		 20% n=120 78°F
Late May
16th–end		 27% n=128 78°F
Full month average 24% n=248 78°F

Sunshine & warmth in May

A second measure using actual sunshine hours (ERA5 sunshine_duration), not the daily weather code. A Lowcountry day with 12 hours of sun and a 25-minute afternoon storm is counted below as a warm, sunny day — because it was. How we define this.

Sunshine-based metrics for St. Martin in May. Primary: % of days ≥ 72°F with > 6 h of sunshine.
Period Warm & sunny (≥72°F, >6 h sun) Sample (n)
Early May
1st–15th		 98% n=120
Late May
16th–end		 97% n=128
Full month average 97% n=248
12.1 h median sunshine per day 97% of days exceed 8 h sunshine 37% of days see ≥ 1 mm rain — rain is not hidden
Comparison (old vs new): WMO-code “clear” bar: 24%. Sunshine-based “warm & sunny”: 97%. The 73-point gap is from brief afternoon convective storms that stamp the whole day as “rain” in the WMO code but leave the bulk of the sunshine untouched.

Bottom line

St. Martin is mostly overcast in May historically: only 24% of days are clear across 8 years (n=248), avg high 78°F. If you want sun in St. Martin, March is historically much better. Most visitors this month will see more clouds than sun.

→ See all destinations in March — historically the best month for sun in St. Martin.

Every month in St. Martin

Compare across all months with data. Numbers are historical clear-sky %.

Historical clear-sky % for St. Martin, all months, ERA5 2018–2025.
Month % Clear Sample (n)
January 18% n=248 All destinations →
February 11% n=226 All destinations →
March 28% n=248 All destinations →
April 24% n=240 All destinations →
May ← this page 24% n=248 All destinations →
June 18% n=240 All destinations →
July 11% n=248 All destinations →
August 16% n=248 All destinations →
September 15% n=240 All destinations →
October 18% n=248 All destinations →
November 17% n=240 All destinations →
December 15% n=248 All destinations →

Frequently asked

Does it rain in St. Martin in May?

Sometimes. St. Martin sees measurable rain on 37% of days in May historically (n=248 days, ERA5 2018–2025) — not frequent enough to plan around, but not negligible either.

Is St. Martin good for sun in May?

Not usually. St. Martin is historically overcast in May: only 24% of days are clear (avg high 78°F, n=248 days, ERA5 2018–2025). March is historically far better for sun here.

How St. Martin compares in May

Head-to-head clear-sky comparisons against destinations travelers plausibly weigh against St. Martin this month — same passport tier, similar flight distance, both sides from the same 8-year ERA5 record.

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.