ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data

Shenandoah Valley in February

Shenandoah Valley in February: rain frequency data not yet backfilled for this month, 49°F average high, 1% of days historically clear (n=226, ERA5 2018–2025).

Shenandoah Valley in February is historically a poor month for sun: only 1% of days clear across 8 years (n=226, avg high 49°F). June is the clearest month for Shenandoah Valley historically. Historical average, not a forecast.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis, not a forecast. A month that is historically 90% clear can still be overcast on your specific trip. For this week’s actual forecast, see the live Shenandoah Valley page. Both can be true at once: “historically strong in this month; this particular week is not.” We label which is which.

Early vs. Late February

Clear-sky percentage for Shenandoah Valley in February, split by half-month. “n” is the number of days sampled across 8 years (2018–2025).
Period	% Clear days	Sample (n)	Avg high
Early February 1st–15th	0%	n=120	49°F
Late February 16th–end	2%	n=106	49°F
Full month average	1%	n=226	49°F

Bottom line

Shenandoah Valley is historically almost never clear in February: only 1% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=226). Come back in June if you want clear skies here. Plan entirely around indoor or overcast-friendly activities.

→ See all destinations in June — historically the best month for sun in Shenandoah Valley.

Every month in Shenandoah Valley

Compare across all months with data. Numbers are historical clear-sky %.

Historical clear-sky % for Shenandoah Valley, all months, ERA5 2018–2025.
Month	% Clear	Sample (n)
January	0%	n=248	All destinations →
February ← this page	1%	n=226	All destinations →
March	2%	n=248	All destinations →
April	14%	n=240	All destinations →
May	18%	n=248	All destinations →
June	39%	n=240	All destinations →
July	34%	n=248	All destinations →
August	34%	n=248	All destinations →
September	36%	n=240	All destinations →
October	17%	n=248	All destinations →
November	4%	n=240	All destinations →
December	0%	n=248	All destinations →

Frequently asked

Is Shenandoah Valley good for sun in February?

Not usually. Shenandoah Valley is historically overcast in February: only 1% of days are clear (avg high 49°F, n=226 days, ERA5 2018–2025). June is historically far better for sun here.

→ Shenandoah Valley live forecast — this week’s actual 7-day weather, not historical
→ Best destinations in February — all destinations ranked by February clear-sky %
→ All destinations
→ Raw data (JSON) — buckets, n, source

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.