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SunnyDays

ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data

Punta Mita in October

Punta Mita in October: 54% of days see measurable rain, 85°F average high, 26% of days historically clear (n=248, ERA5 2018–2025).

Punta Mita in October is historically a poor month for sun: only 26% of days clear across 8 years (n=248, avg high 85°F). March is the clearest month for Punta Mita historically. Historical average, not a forecast.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis, not a forecast. A month that is historically 90% clear can still be overcast on your specific trip. For this week’s actual forecast, see the live Punta Mita page. Both can be true at once: “historically strong in this month; this particular week is not.” We label which is which.

Early vs. Late October

Clear-sky percentage for Punta Mita in October, split by half-month. “n” is the number of days sampled across 8 years (2018–2025).
Period % Clear days Sample (n) Avg high
Early October
1st–15th		 17% n=120 85°F
Late October
16th–end		 34% n=128 85°F
Full month average 26% n=248 85°F

Sunshine & warmth in October

A second measure using actual sunshine hours (ERA5 sunshine_duration), not the daily weather code. A Lowcountry day with 12 hours of sun and a 25-minute afternoon storm is counted below as a warm, sunny day — because it was. How we define this.

Sunshine-based metrics for Punta Mita in October. Primary: % of days ≥ 72°F with > 6 h of sunshine.
Period Warm & sunny (≥72°F, >6 h sun) Sample (n)
Early October
1st–15th		 93% n=120
Late October
16th–end		 91% n=128
Full month average 92% n=248
10.9 h median sunshine per day 86% of days exceed 8 h sunshine 54% of days see ≥ 1 mm rain — rain is not hidden
Comparison (old vs new): WMO-code “clear” bar: 26%. Sunshine-based “warm & sunny”: 92%. The 66-point gap is from brief afternoon convective storms that stamp the whole day as “rain” in the WMO code but leave the bulk of the sunshine untouched.

Bottom line

Punta Mita is mostly overcast in October historically: only 26% of days are clear across 8 years (n=248), avg high 85°F. If you want sun in Punta Mita, March is historically much better. Most visitors this month will see more clouds than sun.

→ See all destinations in March — historically the best month for sun in Punta Mita.

Every month in Punta Mita

Compare across all months with data. Numbers are historical clear-sky %.

Historical clear-sky % for Punta Mita, all months, ERA5 2018–2025.
Month % Clear Sample (n)
January 84% n=248 All destinations →
February 88% n=226 All destinations →
March 97% n=248 All destinations →
April 97% n=240 All destinations →
May 92% n=248 All destinations →
June 37% n=240 All destinations →
July 16% n=248 All destinations →
August 6% n=248 All destinations →
September 6% n=240 All destinations →
October ← this page 26% n=248 All destinations →
November 76% n=240 All destinations →
December 88% n=248 All destinations →

Frequently asked

Does it rain in Punta Mita in October?

Yes, frequently. In Punta Mita, 54% of days in October see measurable rain, based on 8 years of ERA5 historical data (n=248 days, 2018–2025). This is a historical average, not a forecast.

Is Punta Mita good for sun in October?

Not usually. Punta Mita is historically overcast in October: only 26% of days are clear (avg high 85°F, n=248 days, ERA5 2018–2025). March is historically far better for sun here.

How Punta Mita compares in October

Head-to-head clear-sky comparisons against destinations travelers plausibly weigh against Punta Mita this month — same passport tier, similar flight distance, both sides from the same 8-year ERA5 record.

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.