ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data
Punta Mita in February
Punta Mita in February: 6% of days see measurable rain, 78°F average high, 88% of days historically clear (n=226, ERA5 2018–2025).
Historically one of the better months to visit Punta Mita for sun: 88% of days are clear on average (n=226, avg high 78°F). Every percentage here is a historical average from 8 years of ERA5 data — not a forecast.
Early vs. Late February
| Period | % Clear days | Sample (n) | Avg high |
|---|---|---|---|
| Early February 1st–15th |
85% | n=120 | 78°F |
| Late February 16th–end |
92% | n=106 | 78°F |
| Full month average | 88% | n=226 | 78°F |
Sunshine & warmth in February
A second measure using actual sunshine hours (ERA5 sunshine_duration),
not the daily weather code. A Lowcountry day with 12 hours of sun and a
25-minute afternoon storm is counted below as a warm, sunny day —
because it was. How we define this.
| Period | Warm & sunny (≥72°F, >6 h sun) | Sample (n) |
|---|---|---|
| Early February 1st–15th |
93% | n=120 |
| Late February 16th–end |
98% | n=106 |
| Full month average | 95% | n=226 |
Bottom line
Punta Mita is historically one of the best destinations for sun in February: 88% of days meet the clear bar (avg high 78°F, n=226 days across 8 years). Pack for outdoor activity — this month consistently delivers.
Every month in Punta Mita
Compare across all months with data. Numbers are historical clear-sky %.
| Month | % Clear | Sample (n) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 84% | n=248 | All destinations → |
| February ← this page | 88% | n=226 | All destinations → |
| March | 97% | n=248 | All destinations → |
| April | 97% | n=240 | All destinations → |
| May | 92% | n=248 | All destinations → |
| June | 37% | n=240 | All destinations → |
| July | 16% | n=248 | All destinations → |
| August | 6% | n=248 | All destinations → |
| September | 6% | n=240 | All destinations → |
| October | 26% | n=248 | All destinations → |
| November | 76% | n=240 | All destinations → |
| December | 88% | n=248 | All destinations → |
Frequently asked
Does it rain in Punta Mita in February?
Rarely. Only 6% of days in Punta Mita see measurable rain in February, based on 8 years of ERA5 historical data (n=226 days, 2018–2025). This is a historical average, not a forecast.
Is Punta Mita good for sun in February?
Yes. Punta Mita is historically strong for sun in February: 88% of days are clear on average (avg high 78°F, n=226 days, ERA5 2018–2025).
How Punta Mita compares in February
Head-to-head clear-sky comparisons against destinations travelers plausibly weigh against Punta Mita this month — same passport tier, similar flight distance, both sides from the same 8-year ERA5 record.
- → Punta Mita vs Los Cabos in February — Los Cabos is 88% clear historically
- → Punta Mita vs Puerto Vallarta in February — Puerto Vallarta is 87% clear historically
- → Punta Mita vs Oaxaca in February — Oaxaca is 90% clear historically
Related pages
- → Punta Mita live forecast — this week’s actual 7-day weather, not historical
- → Best destinations in February — all destinations ranked by February clear-sky %
- → All destinations
- → Raw data (JSON) — buckets, n, source
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.