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SunnyDays

ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data

Oaxaca in July

Oaxaca in July: 66% of days see measurable rain, 79°F average high, 9% of days historically clear (n=248, ERA5 2018–2025).

Oaxaca in July is historically a poor month for sun: only 9% of days clear across 8 years (n=248, avg high 79°F). February is the clearest month for Oaxaca historically. Historical average, not a forecast.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis, not a forecast. A month that is historically 90% clear can still be overcast on your specific trip. For this week’s actual forecast, see the live Oaxaca page. Both can be true at once: “historically strong in this month; this particular week is not.” We label which is which.

Early vs. Late July

Clear-sky percentage for Oaxaca in July, split by half-month. “n” is the number of days sampled across 8 years (2018–2025).
Period % Clear days Sample (n) Avg high
Early July
1st–15th		 8% n=120 79°F
Late July
16th–end		 10% n=128 79°F
Full month average 9% n=248 79°F

Sunshine & warmth in July

A second measure using actual sunshine hours (ERA5 sunshine_duration), not the daily weather code. A Lowcountry day with 12 hours of sun and a 25-minute afternoon storm is counted below as a warm, sunny day — because it was. How we define this.

Sunshine-based metrics for Oaxaca in July. Primary: % of days ≥ 72°F with > 6 h of sunshine.
Period Warm & sunny (≥72°F, >6 h sun) Sample (n)
Early July
1st–15th		 97% n=120
Late July
16th–end		 100% n=128
Full month average 99% n=248
12.2 h median sunshine per day 98% of days exceed 8 h sunshine 66% of days see ≥ 1 mm rain — rain is not hidden
Comparison (old vs new): WMO-code “clear” bar: 9%. Sunshine-based “warm & sunny”: 99%. The 90-point gap is from brief afternoon convective storms that stamp the whole day as “rain” in the WMO code but leave the bulk of the sunshine untouched.

Bottom line

Oaxaca is a poor choice for sun in July: just 9% of days clear historically (n=248). February is the historically strongest month for sun here. The 8-year record is consistent — this is not a fluke bad stretch.

→ See all destinations in February — historically the best month for sun in Oaxaca.

Every month in Oaxaca

Compare across all months with data. Numbers are historical clear-sky %.

Historical clear-sky % for Oaxaca, all months, ERA5 2018–2025.
Month % Clear Sample (n)
January 82% n=248 All destinations →
February 90% n=226 All destinations →
March 86% n=248 All destinations →
April 70% n=240 All destinations →
May 45% n=248 All destinations →
June 16% n=240 All destinations →
July ← this page 9% n=248 All destinations →
August 6% n=248 All destinations →
September 6% n=240 All destinations →
October 28% n=248 All destinations →
November 68% n=240 All destinations →
December 84% n=248 All destinations →

Frequently asked

Does it rain in Oaxaca in July?

Yes, frequently. In Oaxaca, 66% of days in July see measurable rain, based on 8 years of ERA5 historical data (n=248 days, 2018–2025). This is a historical average, not a forecast.

Is Oaxaca good for sun in July?

Not usually. Oaxaca is historically overcast in July: only 9% of days are clear (avg high 79°F, n=248 days, ERA5 2018–2025). February is historically far better for sun here.

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.