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SunnyDays

ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data

Nassau in February

Nassau in February: 38% of days see measurable rain, 78°F average high, 34% of days historically clear (n=226, ERA5 2018–2025).

Nassau in February is historically a poor month for sun: only 34% of days clear across 8 years (n=226, avg high 78°F). Historical average, not a forecast.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis, not a forecast. A month that is historically 90% clear can still be overcast on your specific trip. For this week’s actual forecast, see the live Nassau page. Both can be true at once: “historically strong in this month; this particular week is not.” We label which is which.

Early vs. Late February

Clear-sky percentage for Nassau in February, split by half-month. “n” is the number of days sampled across 8 years (2018–2025).
Period % Clear days Sample (n) Avg high
Early February
1st–15th		 37% n=120 78°F
Late February
16th–end		 30% n=106 78°F
Full month average 34% n=226 78°F

Sunshine & warmth in February

A second measure using actual sunshine hours (ERA5 sunshine_duration), not the daily weather code. A Lowcountry day with 12 hours of sun and a 25-minute afternoon storm is counted below as a warm, sunny day — because it was. How we define this.

Sunshine-based metrics for Nassau in February. Primary: % of days ≥ 72°F with > 6 h of sunshine.
Period Warm & sunny (≥72°F, >6 h sun) Sample (n)
Early February
1st–15th		 95% n=120
Late February
16th–end		 92% n=106
Full month average 94% n=226
10.9 h median sunshine per day 94% of days exceed 8 h sunshine 38% of days see ≥ 1 mm rain — rain is not hidden
Comparison (old vs new): WMO-code “clear” bar: 34%. Sunshine-based “warm & sunny”: 94%. The 60-point gap is from brief afternoon convective storms that stamp the whole day as “rain” in the WMO code but leave the bulk of the sunshine untouched.

Bottom line

Nassau is mostly overcast in February historically: only 34% of days are clear across 8 years (n=226), avg high 78°F. Most visitors this month will see more clouds than sun.

Every month in Nassau

Compare across all months with data. Numbers are historical clear-sky %.

Historical clear-sky % for Nassau, all months, ERA5 2018–2025.
Month % Clear Sample (n)
January 32% n=248 All destinations →
February ← this page 34% n=226 All destinations →
March 40% n=248 All destinations →
April 30% n=240 All destinations →
May 20% n=248 All destinations →
June 6% n=240 All destinations →
July 6% n=248 All destinations →
August 8% n=248 All destinations →
September 6% n=240 All destinations →
October 14% n=248 All destinations →
November 28% n=240 All destinations →
December 33% n=248 All destinations →

Frequently asked

Does it rain in Nassau in February?

Sometimes. Nassau sees measurable rain on 38% of days in February historically (n=226 days, ERA5 2018–2025) — not frequent enough to plan around, but not negligible either.

Is Nassau good for sun in February?

It's mixed. Nassau in February is clear on 34% of days historically (avg high 78°F, n=226 days, ERA5 2018–2025) — the outcome varies year to year.

How Nassau compares in February

Head-to-head clear-sky comparisons against destinations travelers plausibly weigh against Nassau this month — same passport tier, similar flight distance, both sides from the same 8-year ERA5 record.

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.