ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Sarasota vs Tampa: weather in July
Essentially a tie in July: Sarasota is 5% clear historically, Tampa is 2% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 87°F vs 89°F. Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
Sarasota
FL
- Clear days, July
- 5%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 87°F
- Early July (1st–15th)
- 9%
- Late July (16th–end)
- 2%
- Rain frequency
- 76% of days
Tampa
FL
- Clear days, July
- 2%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 89°F
- Early July (1st–15th)
- 3%
- Late July (16th–end)
- 1%
- Rain frequency
- 83% of days
Frequently asked
Is Sarasota or Tampa warmer in July?
Tampa runs warmer by day in July. Sarasota averages highs of 87°F (highs n=248 days); Tampa averages highs of 89°F (highs n=248 days) (ERA5 2018–2025). Historical averages, not a forecast.
Does it rain more in Sarasota or Tampa in July?
Days with measurable rain: Sarasota 76%, Tampa 83% (n=248 and n=248 days). ERA5 2018–2025; historical, not a forecast.
Which is sunnier in July, Sarasota or Tampa?
Essentially a tie in July: Sarasota is 5% clear historically, Tampa is 2% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 87°F vs 89°F. Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
Compare Sarasota vs Tampa in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live forecast for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.