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SunnyDays

ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data

Sarasota vs Scottsdale: weather in October

Scottsdale is the clear winner for sun in October: 83% of days historically clear versus just 39% in Sarasota — a 44-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Sarasota also sees measurably more rain than Scottsdale this month (36% vs 7% of days). This isn't close.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast. Either destination can still surprise you this specific October. For the actual forecast right now, each destination links to its live page below.

Sarasota

FL

Clear days, October
39%
Sample size
n=248 days
Avg high
83°F
Early October (1st–15th)
30%
Late October (16th–end)
48%
Rain frequency
36% of days
See the live forecast →

Scottsdale

AZ

Clear days, October
83%
Sample size
n=248 days
Avg high
89°F
Early October (1st–15th)
77%
Late October (16th–end)
88%
Rain frequency
7% of days
See the live forecast →

Frequently asked

Is Sarasota or Scottsdale warmer in October?

Scottsdale runs warmer by day in October. Sarasota averages highs of 83°F (highs n=248 days); Scottsdale averages highs of 89°F (highs n=248 days) (ERA5 2018–2025). Historical averages, not a forecast.

Does it rain more in Sarasota or Scottsdale in October?

Sarasota is measurably wetter than Scottsdale. Days with measurable rain: Sarasota 36%, Scottsdale 7% (n=248 and n=248 days). ERA5 2018–2025; historical, not a forecast.

Which is sunnier in October, Sarasota or Scottsdale?

Scottsdale is the clear winner for sun in October: 83% of days historically clear versus just 39% in Sarasota — a 44-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Sarasota also sees measurably more rain than Scottsdale this month (36% vs 7% of days). This isn't close.

Compare Sarasota vs Scottsdale in another month

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live forecast for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.