Arizona · PHX

Scottsdale weather this week

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Scottsdale scores 8.5 out of 10 and has 6 genuinely clear days out of 16.

8.5/10

Genuinely clear

6 genuinely clear days, 1 partly cloudy, 2 overcast, 1 wet, 0 stormy — out of 16 forecast days.

Bright days 7 vs dull days 3. Bright wins.

Our model tiers this window Excellent, and the clear-day count supports that.

10-day window, 0.6% rain-affected — Sunshine, day after day — 10-days run, 6 genuinely clear, 1 partly cloudy — 98°F peaks

The next 16 days in Scottsdale

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (39%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Tue 29 Sep–Thu 8 Oct: 8.5/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (8.5) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Scottsdale daily forecast, Wed 23 Sep to Thu 8 Oct (16 days total). Best single day scores 9.5; worst scores 6.6. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day	High	Low	Rain chance	Sky	Day score
Wed 23 Sep	96°F	81°F	14%	Overcast cloudy	7.1 Overcast, 96°F, toasty with a lid on.
Thu 24 Sep	100°F	76°F	8%	Overcast cloudy	6.7 Overcast, 100°F, toasty with a lid on.
Fri 25 Sep	99°F	75°F	7%	Mainly clear clear	8.0 Clear skies, 99°F — aggressively sunny.
Sat 26 Sep	99°F	85°F	0%	Overcast cloudy	6.8 Overcast, 99°F, toasty with a lid on.
Sun 27 Sep	93°F	81°F	21%	Light drizzle wet	6.7 Light drizzle, 93°F — it'll pass.
Mon 28 Sep	84°F	72°F	39%	Rain showers wet	6.6 Rain showers, 84°F — it'll pass.
Tue 29 Sep	85°F	72°F	28%	Light drizzle wet	7.0 Light drizzle, 85°F — it'll pass.
Wed 30 Sep	84°F	80°F	15%	Overcast cloudy	8.4 Overcast, 84°F, dry as a bone.
Thu 1 Oct	90°F	78°F	6%	Overcast cloudy	8.2 Overcast, 90°F, dry as a bone.
Fri 2 Oct	95°F	83°F	8%	Clear clear	8.8 Clear skies, 95°F — sunscreen is not optional.
Sat 3 Oct	95°F	85°F	7%	Mainly clear clear	8.6 Clear skies, 95°F — sunscreen is not optional.
Sun 4 Oct	91°F	74°F	6%	Clear clear	9.5 Clear skies, 91°F — sunscreen is not optional.
Mon 5 Oct	91°F	76°F	6%	Clear clear	9.5 Clear skies, 91°F — sunscreen is not optional.
Tue 6 Oct	93°F	77°F	6%	Partly cloudy partly	8.5 Partly cloudy, 93°F, not a drop of rain.
Wed 7 Oct	95°F	80°F	3%	Clear clear	8.8 Clear skies, 95°F — sunscreen is not optional.
Thu 8 Oct	98°F	82°F	10%	Clear clear	8.4 Clear skies, 98°F — aggressively sunny.

How this week got its score

10 forecast days: 6 clear/mainly clear, 1 partly cloudy, 2 overcast, 1 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
Trimmed mean of day scores 8.7 × 0.55 = 4.76
Worst day drag: worst day is 7.0 × 0.25 = 1.75 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 10/10 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
Best single day is 9.5 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Scottsdale

The nearest airport we price is PHX. From New York City that is about 4h 45m in the air out of EWR, 2128 miles. Then about 10m to drive from PHX (est. 6 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 4h 55m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Scottsdale

We hold no live hotel rates for Scottsdale right now, so there is nothing honest to show here. Rates return as soon as the supplier does — the refresh state is on system status.

So, should you go?

Scottsdale scores 8.5 out of 10 and has 6 genuinely clear days out of 16. That holds up. Check the daily rows above for which specific days carry the sun, and price it from your own airport.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Scottsdale this week?

Partly. 1 of the next 16 day in Scottsdale are forecast wet or stormy, peaking at 39% chance on the worst day — the rest are dry, whatever the cloud cover.

How many clear days does Scottsdale have this week?

6. Scottsdale has 6 genuinely clear days out of the next 16.

Is Scottsdale good for a trip this week?

Yes. Scottsdale scores 8.5/10 with 6 genuinely clear days out of 16 — bright days outnumber dull ones.

Scottsdale by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Scottsdale: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month	Historically clear	Sample (n)
January	18%	n=248	all destinations →
February	42%	n=226	all destinations →
March	57%	n=248	all destinations →
April	92%	n=240	all destinations →
May	93%	n=248	all destinations →
June	95%	n=240	all destinations →
July	76%	n=248	all destinations →
August	75%	n=248	all destinations →
September	82%	n=240	all destinations →
October	83%	n=248	all destinations →
November	65%	n=240	all destinations →
December	25%	n=248	all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Scottsdale in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-09-24T02:07:50.537610Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.