ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Outer Banks vs Tulum: weather in November
Tulum edges out Outer Banks for sun in November: 20% clear historically versus 1% (8-year ERA5 average, a 19-point gap). Tulum also sees measurably more rain than Outer Banks this month (52% vs 26% of days). Both are viable — Tulum is the safer bet.
Outer Banks
NC
- Clear days, November
- 1%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 64°F
- Early November (1st–15th)
- 2%
- Late November (16th–end)
- 0%
- Rain frequency
- 26% of days
Tulum
Mexico
- Clear days, November
- 20%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 84°F
- Early November (1st–15th)
- 12%
- Late November (16th–end)
- 27%
- Rain frequency
- 52% of days
Frequently asked
Is Outer Banks or Tulum warmer in November?
Tulum runs warmer by day in November. Outer Banks averages highs of 64°F (highs n=240 days); Tulum averages highs of 84°F (highs n=240 days) (ERA5 2018–2025). Historical averages, not a forecast.
Does it rain more in Outer Banks or Tulum in November?
Tulum is measurably wetter than Outer Banks. Days with measurable rain: Outer Banks 26%, Tulum 52% (n=240 and n=240 days). ERA5 2018–2025; historical, not a forecast.
Which is sunnier in November, Outer Banks or Tulum?
Tulum edges out Outer Banks for sun in November: 20% clear historically versus 1% (8-year ERA5 average, a 19-point gap). Tulum also sees measurably more rain than Outer Banks this month (52% vs 26% of days). Both are viable — Tulum is the safer bet.
Compare Outer Banks vs Tulum in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live forecast for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.