ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Outer Banks vs Tulum: weather in February
Tulum edges out Outer Banks for sun in February: 23% clear historically versus 0% (8-year ERA5 average, a 23-point gap). Both are viable — Tulum is the safer bet.
Outer Banks
NC
- Clear days, February
- 0%
- Sample size
- n=226 days
- Avg high
- 54°F
- Early February (1st–15th)
- 0%
- Late February (16th–end)
- 0%
- Rain frequency
- 41% of days
Tulum
Mexico
- Clear days, February
- 23%
- Sample size
- n=226 days
- Avg high
- 81°F
- Early February (1st–15th)
- 21%
- Late February (16th–end)
- 25%
- Rain frequency
- 45% of days
Frequently asked
Is Outer Banks or Tulum warmer in February?
Tulum runs warmer by day in February. Outer Banks averages highs of 54°F (highs n=226 days); Tulum averages highs of 81°F (highs n=226 days) (ERA5 2018–2025). Historical averages, not a forecast.
Does it rain more in Outer Banks or Tulum in February?
Days with measurable rain: Outer Banks 41%, Tulum 45% (n=226 and n=226 days). ERA5 2018–2025; historical, not a forecast.
Which is sunnier in February, Outer Banks or Tulum?
Tulum edges out Outer Banks for sun in February: 23% clear historically versus 0% (8-year ERA5 average, a 23-point gap). Both are viable — Tulum is the safer bet.
Compare Outer Banks vs Tulum in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live forecast for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.