ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Orlando vs Punta Mita: weather in October
Essentially a tie in October: Orlando is 30% clear historically, Punta Mita is 26% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 82°F vs 85°F. Punta Mita also sees measurably more rain than Orlando this month (54% vs 39% of days). Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
Orlando
FL
- Clear days, October
- 30%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 82°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 18%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 42%
- Rain frequency
- 39% of days
Punta Mita
MX
- Clear days, October
- 26%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 85°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 17%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 34%
- Rain frequency
- 54% of days
Compare Orlando vs Punta Mita in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.