ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Naples vs Nashville: weather in October
Nashville edges out Naples for sun in October: 32% clear historically versus 23% (8-year ERA5 average, a 9-point gap). Naples also sees measurably more rain than Nashville this month (48% vs 31% of days). Both are viable — Nashville is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific October. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Naples
FL
- Clear days, October
- 23%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 86°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 12%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 34%
- Rain frequency
- 48% of days
Nashville
TN
- Clear days, October
- 32%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 73°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 43%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 21%
- Rain frequency
- 31% of days
Compare Naples vs Nashville in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.