Florida · RSW

Naples weather this week

Just your ID

Naples scores 8.7 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 16. Dull days (4) still outnumber bright ones (1), so this is not a good week.

8.7/10

Mostly dull

1 genuinely clear day, 0 partly cloudy, 4 overcast, 0 wet, 0 stormy — out of 16 forecast days.

Bright days 1 vs dull days 4. Dull wins, so we do not call this a good week.

We are not showing a flattering tier word here. Why the score and the sky can disagree.

The model gives this week 8.7 out of 10 because it is warm and largely rain-free, and those are the two things the score measures. It is not measuring sunshine. With 1 genuinely clear day and 4 dull ones, expect grey skies. We are showing you the number and the contradiction rather than only the number.

5-day window, zero rain — The clouds are winning — 1 clear day out of 5, 89°F

The next 16 days in Naples

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (74%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Thu 24 Sep–Mon 28 Sep: 8.7/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (8.7) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Naples daily forecast, Wed 23 Sep to Thu 8 Oct (16 days total). Best single day scores 9.6; worst scores 4.0. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day	High	Low	Rain chance	Sky	Day score
Wed 23 Sep	86°F	76°F	56%	Light drizzle wet	6.0 Light drizzle, 86°F — it'll pass.
Thu 24 Sep	86°F	74°F	16%	Overcast cloudy	8.3 Overcast, 86°F, dry as a bone.
Fri 25 Sep	86°F	72°F	15%	Overcast cloudy	8.4 Overcast, 86°F, dry as a bone.
Sat 26 Sep	89°F	72°F	4%	Mainly clear clear	9.6 Clear skies, 89°F — sunscreen is not optional.
Sun 27 Sep	86°F	72°F	3%	Overcast cloudy	8.5 Overcast, 86°F, dry as a bone.
Mon 28 Sep	87°F	72°F	12%	Overcast cloudy	8.4 Overcast, 87°F, dry as a bone.
Tue 29 Sep	90°F	72°F	40%	Thunderstorm storm	4.0 Thunderstorms, 90°F — Mother Nature has opinions.
Wed 30 Sep	89°F	72°F	47%	Light drizzle wet	6.2 Light drizzle, 89°F — it'll pass.
Thu 1 Oct	90°F	76°F	48%	Heavy drizzle wet	5.4 Heavy drizzle, 90°F — it'll pass.
Fri 2 Oct	95°F	76°F	56%	Thunderstorm storm	4.0 Thunderstorms, 95°F — Mother Nature has opinions.
Sat 3 Oct	91°F	79°F	52%	Light drizzle wet	5.7 Light drizzle, 91°F — it'll pass.
Sun 4 Oct	90°F	78°F	74%	Overcast cloudy	5.6 Overcast, 90°F, light rain possible.
Mon 5 Oct	89°F	79°F	74%	Drizzle wet	4.8 Drizzle, 89°F — it'll pass.
Tue 6 Oct	86°F	78°F	58%	Drizzle wet	5.7 Drizzle, 86°F — it'll pass.
Wed 7 Oct	86°F	71°F	53%	Heavy drizzle wet	5.4 Heavy drizzle, 86°F — it'll pass.
Thu 8 Oct	89°F	72°F	60%	Clear clear	7.9 Clear skies, 89°F, zero drama.

How this week got its score

5 forecast days: 1 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 4 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
Trimmed mean of day scores 8.4 × 0.55 = 4.64
Worst day drag: worst day is 8.3 × 0.25 = 2.08 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 5/5 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
Best single day is 9.6 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Naples

The nearest airport we price is RSW. From New York City that is about 2h 38m in the air out of EWR, 1070 miles. Then about 43m to drive from RSW (est. 27 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 3h 21m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Naples

We hold no live hotel rates for Naples right now, so there is nothing honest to show here. Rates return as soon as the supplier does — the refresh state is on system status.

So, should you go?

Naples scores 8.7 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 16. Dull days (4) still outnumber bright ones (1), so this is not a good week. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Naples this week?

No. The current 16-day forecast for Naples shows no rain or storm days, peaking at 74% chance on the worst day. Cloud is not the dealbreaker here — rain is, and none is forecast.

How many clear days does Naples have this week?

One. Naples has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 16.

Is Naples good for a trip this week?

Marginal. Naples scores 8.7/10, but dull days (4) still outnumber bright ones (1) this week.

Naples by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Naples: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month	Historically clear	Sample (n)
January	35%	n=248	all destinations →
February	41%	n=226	all destinations →
March	48%	n=248	all destinations →
April	41%	n=240	all destinations →
May	28%	n=248	all destinations →
June	7%	n=240	all destinations →
July	4%	n=248	all destinations →
August	2%	n=248	all destinations →
September	9%	n=240	all destinations →
October	23%	n=248	all destinations →
November	44%	n=240	all destinations →
December	45%	n=248	all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Naples in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-09-24T02:07:50.537610Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.