ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Moab vs Vail: weather in November
Essentially a tie in November: Moab is 2% clear historically, Vail is 0% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 54°F vs 39°F. Vail also sees measurably more rain than Moab this month (28% vs 10% of days). Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
Moab
UT
- Clear days, November
- 2%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 54°F
- Early November (1st–15th)
- 4%
- Late November (16th–end)
- 0%
- Rain frequency
- 10% of days
Vail
CO
- Clear days, November
- 0%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 39°F
- Early November (1st–15th)
- 0%
- Late November (16th–end)
- 0%
- Rain frequency
- 28% of days
Compare Moab vs Vail in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.