ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Moab vs Vail: weather in February
Essentially a tie in February: Moab is 0% clear historically, Vail is 0% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 50°F vs 32°F. Vail also sees measurably more rain than Moab this month (46% vs 21% of days). Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
Moab
UT
- Clear days, February
- 0%
- Sample size
- n=226 days
- Avg high
- 50°F
- Early February (1st–15th)
- 0%
- Late February (16th–end)
- 0%
- Rain frequency
- 21% of days
Vail
CO
- Clear days, February
- 0%
- Sample size
- n=226 days
- Avg high
- 32°F
- Early February (1st–15th)
- 0%
- Late February (16th–end)
- 0%
- Rain frequency
- 46% of days
Compare Moab vs Vail in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.