ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Moab vs Tampa: weather in October
Essentially a tie in October: Moab is 41% clear historically, Tampa is 41% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 70°F vs 84°F. Tampa also sees measurably more rain than Moab this month (32% vs 16% of days). Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
Moab
UT
- Clear days, October
- 41%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 70°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 55%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 27%
- Rain frequency
- 16% of days
Tampa
FL
- Clear days, October
- 41%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 84°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 32%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 50%
- Rain frequency
- 32% of days
Frequently asked
Is Moab or Tampa warmer in October?
Tampa runs warmer by day in October. Moab averages highs of 70°F (highs n=248 days); Tampa averages highs of 84°F (highs n=248 days) (ERA5 2018–2025). Historical averages, not a forecast.
Does it rain more in Moab or Tampa in October?
Tampa is measurably wetter than Moab. Days with measurable rain: Moab 16%, Tampa 32% (n=248 and n=248 days). ERA5 2018–2025; historical, not a forecast.
Which is sunnier in October, Moab or Tampa?
Essentially a tie in October: Moab is 41% clear historically, Tampa is 41% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 70°F vs 84°F. Tampa also sees measurably more rain than Moab this month (32% vs 16% of days). Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
Compare Moab vs Tampa in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live forecast for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.