ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Mexico City vs Tampa: weather in October
Tampa edges out Mexico City for sun in October: 41% clear historically versus 20% (8-year ERA5 average, a 21-point gap). Mexico City also sees measurably more rain than Tampa this month (50% vs 32% of days). Both are viable — Tampa is the safer bet.
Mexico City
Mexico
- Clear days, October
- 20%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 74°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 10%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 29%
- Rain frequency
- 50% of days
Tampa
FL
- Clear days, October
- 41%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 84°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 32%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 50%
- Rain frequency
- 32% of days
Frequently asked
Is Mexico City or Tampa warmer in October?
Tampa runs warmer by day in October. Mexico City averages highs of 74°F (highs n=248 days); Tampa averages highs of 84°F (highs n=248 days) (ERA5 2018–2025). Historical averages, not a forecast.
Does it rain more in Mexico City or Tampa in October?
Mexico City is measurably wetter than Tampa. Days with measurable rain: Mexico City 50%, Tampa 32% (n=248 and n=248 days). ERA5 2018–2025; historical, not a forecast.
Which is sunnier in October, Mexico City or Tampa?
Tampa edges out Mexico City for sun in October: 41% clear historically versus 20% (8-year ERA5 average, a 21-point gap). Mexico City also sees measurably more rain than Tampa this month (50% vs 32% of days). Both are viable — Tampa is the safer bet.
Compare Mexico City vs Tampa in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live forecast for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.