ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Mérida vs Tampa: weather in February
Mérida edges out Tampa for sun in February: 61% clear historically versus 40% (8-year ERA5 average, a 21-point gap). Both are viable — Mérida is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific February. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Mérida
MX
- Clear days, February
- 61%
- Sample size
- n=226 days
- Avg high
- 87°F
- Early February (1st–15th)
- 55%
- Late February (16th–end)
- 68%
- Rain frequency
- 12% of days
Tampa
FL
- Clear days, February
- 40%
- Sample size
- n=226 days
- Avg high
- 76°F
- Early February (1st–15th)
- 39%
- Late February (16th–end)
- 42%
- Rain frequency
- 24% of days
Compare Mérida vs Tampa in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.