ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Los Cabos vs Punta Mita: weather in May
Los Cabos edges out Punta Mita for sun in May: 98% clear historically versus 92% (8-year ERA5 average, a 6-point gap). Both are viable — Los Cabos is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific May. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Los Cabos
MX
- Clear days, May
- 98%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 87°F
- Early May (1st–15th)
- 99%
- Late May (16th–end)
- 98%
- Rain frequency
- 1% of days
Punta Mita
MX
- Clear days, May
- 92%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 84°F
- Early May (1st–15th)
- 97%
- Late May (16th–end)
- 88%
- Rain frequency
- 3% of days
Compare Los Cabos vs Punta Mita in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.