ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Los Cabos vs Punta Mita: weather in January
Los Cabos edges out Punta Mita for sun in January: 91% clear historically versus 84% (8-year ERA5 average, a 7-point gap). Both are viable — Los Cabos is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific January. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Los Cabos
MX
- Clear days, January
- 91%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 78°F
- Early January (1st–15th)
- 90%
- Late January (16th–end)
- 92%
- Rain frequency
- 2% of days
Punta Mita
MX
- Clear days, January
- 84%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 78°F
- Early January (1st–15th)
- 82%
- Late January (16th–end)
- 85%
- Rain frequency
- 6% of days
Compare Los Cabos vs Punta Mita in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.