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SunnyDays

ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data

Key West vs Tucson: weather in September

Tucson is the clear winner for sun in September: 70% of days historically clear versus just 11% in Key West — a 59-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Key West also sees measurably more rain than Tucson this month (64% vs 20% of days). This isn't close.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast. Either destination can still surprise you this specific September. For the actual forecast right now, each destination links to its live page below.

Key West

FL

Clear days, September
11%
Sample size
n=240 days
Avg high
85°F
Early September (1st–15th)
14%
Late September (16th–end)
8%
Rain frequency
64% of days
See the live forecast →

Tucson

AZ

Clear days, September
70%
Sample size
n=240 days
Avg high
96°F
Early September (1st–15th)
72%
Late September (16th–end)
69%
Rain frequency
20% of days
See the live forecast →

Frequently asked

Is Key West or Tucson warmer in September?

Tucson runs warmer by day in September. Key West averages highs of 85°F (highs n=240 days); Tucson averages highs of 96°F (highs n=240 days) (ERA5 2018–2025). Historical averages, not a forecast.

Does it rain more in Key West or Tucson in September?

Key West is measurably wetter than Tucson. Days with measurable rain: Key West 64%, Tucson 20% (n=240 and n=240 days). ERA5 2018–2025; historical, not a forecast.

Which is sunnier in September, Key West or Tucson?

Tucson is the clear winner for sun in September: 70% of days historically clear versus just 11% in Key West — a 59-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Key West also sees measurably more rain than Tucson this month (64% vs 20% of days). This isn't close.

Compare Key West vs Tucson in another month

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live forecast for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.