Arizona · TUS

Tucson weather this week

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Tucson scores 9.4 out of 10 and has 7 genuinely clear days out of 16.

9.4/10

Genuinely clear

7 genuinely clear days, 0 partly cloudy, 0 overcast, 0 wet, 0 stormy — out of 16 forecast days.

Bright days 7 vs dull days 0. Bright wins.

Our model tiers this window Perfect, and the clear-day count supports that.

7-day window, zero rain — Sunshine, day after day — 7 of 7 straight — 95°F peaks

The next 16 days in Tucson

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (36%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Fri 2 Oct–Thu 8 Oct: 9.4/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (9.4) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Tucson daily forecast, Wed 23 Sep to Thu 8 Oct (16 days total). Best single day scores 10.0; worst scores 6.1. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day	High	Low	Rain chance	Sky	Day score
Wed 23 Sep	91°F	74°F	16%	Overcast cloudy	7.8 Overcast, 91°F, toasty with a lid on.
Thu 24 Sep	96°F	68°F	19%	Drizzle wet	6.1 Drizzle, 96°F — it'll pass.
Fri 25 Sep	96°F	70°F	4%	Partly cloudy partly	8.0 Partly cloudy, 96°F, not a drop of rain.
Sat 26 Sep	96°F	84°F	1%	Clear clear	8.8 Clear skies, 96°F — sunscreen is not optional.
Sun 27 Sep	92°F	84°F	14%	Overcast cloudy	7.7 Overcast, 92°F, toasty with a lid on.
Mon 28 Sep	83°F	72°F	33%	Drizzle wet	6.2 Drizzle, 83°F — it'll pass.
Tue 29 Sep	76°F	73°F	36%	Drizzle wet	6.2 Drizzle, 76°F — it'll pass.
Wed 30 Sep	80°F	73°F	21%	Light drizzle wet	7.0 Light drizzle, 80°F — it'll pass.
Thu 1 Oct	85°F	73°F	9%	Light drizzle cloudy	7.0 Overcast, 85°F, dry as a bone.
Fri 2 Oct	90°F	78°F	5%	Clear clear	9.6 Clear skies, 90°F — sunscreen is not optional.
Sat 3 Oct	92°F	79°F	12%	Mainly clear clear	9.1 Clear skies, 92°F — sunscreen is not optional.
Sun 4 Oct	89°F	78°F	10%	Mainly clear clear	9.6 Clear skies, 89°F, zero drama.
Mon 5 Oct	87°F	71°F	6%	Clear clear	10.0 Clear skies, 87°F, zero drama.
Tue 6 Oct	91°F	74°F	3%	Clear clear	9.6 Clear skies, 91°F — sunscreen is not optional.
Wed 7 Oct	93°F	81°F	6%	Clear clear	9.2 Clear skies, 93°F — sunscreen is not optional.
Thu 8 Oct	95°F	81°F	6%	Clear clear	8.9 Clear skies, 95°F — sunscreen is not optional.

How this week got its score

7 forecast days: 7 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 0 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
Trimmed mean of day scores 9.4 × 0.55 = 5.18
Worst day drag: worst day is 8.9 × 0.25 = 2.23 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 7/7 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
Best single day is 10.0 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Tucson

The nearest airport we price is TUS. From New York City that is about 4h 43m in the air out of EWR, 2112 miles. Then about 12m to drive from TUS (est. 8 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 4h 55m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Tucson

We hold no live hotel rates for Tucson right now, so there is nothing honest to show here. Rates return as soon as the supplier does — the refresh state is on system status.

So, should you go?

Tucson scores 9.4 out of 10 and has 7 genuinely clear days out of 16. That holds up. Check the daily rows above for which specific days carry the sun, and price it from your own airport.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Tucson this week?

No. The current 16-day forecast for Tucson shows no rain or storm days, peaking at 36% chance on the worst day. Cloud is not the dealbreaker here — rain is, and none is forecast.

How many clear days does Tucson have this week?

7. Tucson has 7 genuinely clear days out of the next 16.

Is Tucson good for a trip this week?

Yes. Tucson scores 9.4/10 with 7 genuinely clear days out of 16 — bright days outnumber dull ones.

Tucson by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Tucson: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month	Historically clear	Sample (n)
January	13%	n=248	all destinations →
February	38%	n=226	all destinations →
March	57%	n=248	all destinations →
April	88%	n=240	all destinations →
May	94%	n=248	all destinations →
June	89%	n=240	all destinations →
July	57%	n=248	all destinations →
August	55%	n=248	all destinations →
September	70%	n=240	all destinations →
October	82%	n=248	all destinations →
November	56%	n=240	all destinations →
December	27%	n=248	all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Tucson in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-09-24T02:07:50.537610Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.