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SunnyDays

Arizona · TUS

Tucson weather, next 16 days

Tucson, Arizona Just your ID

Tucson scores 10.0 out of 10 and has 6 genuinely clear days out of 16. Dull days (8) still outnumber bright ones (7), so this is not a good run of weather.

10.0/10
Mostly dull
6 genuinely clear days, 1 partly cloudy, 6 overcast, 2 wet-sky, out of 16 forecast days. Rain is in the hourly forecast on 4 days (45h).
Bright days 7 vs dull days 8. Dull wins, so we do not call this a good forecast.
We are not showing a flattering tier word here. Why the score and the sky can disagree.

6-day run 8–13 Nov, zero rain · 6 clear, rain on 4 of 16 forecast days (45h) — Sunshine, day after day — 6 of 6 straight, 81°F · 6-day run 8–13 Nov; rain on 4 of the other 10 days (45h)

The next 16 days in Tucson

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (38%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Sun 8 Nov–Fri 13 Nov: 10.0/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (10.0) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Tucson daily forecast, Sun 8 Nov to Mon 23 Nov (16 days total). Best single day scores 10.0; worst scores 5.6. A lone good day cannot carry the forecast.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
77°F 55°F 0% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 77°F, zero drama.
78°F 55°F 0% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 78°F, zero drama.
77°F 66°F 0% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 77°F, zero drama.
78°F 66°F 0% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 78°F, zero drama.
80°F 66°F 0% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 80°F, zero drama.
81°F 66°F 18% Clear clear 9.8
Clear skies, 81°F, zero drama.
75°F 60°F 32% Rain showers wet 5.6
Rain showers, 75°F — it'll pass — but 11 hours of rain are in the forecast.
72°F 60°F 19% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 72°F — it'll pass — but 11 hours of rain are in the forecast.
73°F 64°F 32% Overcast cloudy 7.7
Overcast, 73°F, light rain possible — but 5 hours of rain are in the forecast.
74°F 66°F 38% Overcast cloudy 7.5
Overcast, 74°F, light rain possible — but 5 hours of rain are in the forecast.
71°F 65°F 16% Overcast cloudy 8.3
Overcast, 71°F, dry as a bone.
70°F 62°F 6% Partly cloudy partly 9.1
Partly cloudy, 70°F, not a drop of rain.
77°F 62°F 19% Overcast cloudy 8.2
Overcast, 77°F, dry as a bone.
78°F 67°F 19% Overcast cloudy 8.2
Overcast, 78°F, dry as a bone.
71°F 64°F 14% Overcast cloudy 8.2
Overcast, 71°F, dry as a bone.
unknown unknown 17% Unknown unknown 6.6
Hazy conditions.

How this forecast got its score

  • 6 forecast days: 6 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 0 overcast or foggy, 0 with a drizzle/rain/snow sky code, 0 stormy (sky codes; rain hours below).
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 10.0 × 0.55 = 5.50
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 9.8 × 0.25 = 2.45 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 6/6 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
  • Best single day is 10.0 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
  • Hourly forecast: no rain hours in any of the 6 days.
  • Whole 16-day forecast: 6 clear, 1 partly cloudy, 6 overcast or foggy, 2 with a rain sky code, 0 with a storm sky code; rain hours on 4 of them (45h).

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad run, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Tucson

The nearest airport we price is TUS. From New York City the fastest itinerary we have seen out of JFK takes 7h 5m (verified, Duffel), 1 stop. Then about 12m to drive from TUS (est. 8 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: ~7h 17m (estimated: the drive is a road model). Flight times from 56 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Tucson

24 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. Each price is the total for the stay, taxes and mandatory fees included, as last returned for the window above — a held rate, not a quote, and it moves. A hotel whose total with taxes and fees we cannot confirm shows no price.

Hotels: best time to visit and prices by month

Hotels in Tucson with enough price history for a month-by-month page: weather by half-month and the nightly rates our searches have observed.

So, should you go?

Tucson scores 10.0 out of 10 and has 6 genuinely clear days out of 16. Dull days (8) still outnumber bright ones (7), so this is not a good run of weather. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Tucson in the next 16 days?

Yes. 4 of the next 16 days in Tucson have rain in the forecast (45 forecast rain hours), peaking at 38% chance on the worst day. The run we list, Sun 8 Nov to Fri 13 Nov, is the stretch that clears our rain bar.

How many clear days does Tucson have in the next 16 days?

6. Tucson has 6 genuinely clear days out of the next 16.

Is Tucson good for a trip right now?

Marginal. Tucson scores 10.0/10, but dull days (8) still outnumber bright ones (7) over the next 16 days.

Tucson by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 16-day forecast above is what is actually coming. They can and do differ.

Tucson: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 13% n=248 all destinations →
February 38% n=226 all destinations →
March 57% n=248 all destinations →
April 88% n=240 all destinations →
May 94% n=248 all destinations →
June 89% n=240 all destinations →
July 57% n=248 all destinations →
August 55% n=248 all destinations →
September 70% n=240 all destinations →
October 82% n=248 all destinations →
November 56% n=240 all destinations →
December 27% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Tucson in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-11-08T10:00:29.682430Z. Hotel names and rates come from third-party supplier data and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.