ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Jamaica vs Nashville: weather in October
Nashville edges out Jamaica for sun in October: 32% clear historically versus 4% (8-year ERA5 average, a 28-point gap). Jamaica also sees measurably more rain than Nashville this month (83% vs 31% of days). Both are viable — Nashville is the safer bet.
Jamaica
Jamaica
- Clear days, October
- 4%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 85°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 1%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 7%
- Rain frequency
- 83% of days
Nashville
TN
- Clear days, October
- 32%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 73°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 43%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 21%
- Rain frequency
- 31% of days
Frequently asked
Is Jamaica or Nashville warmer in October?
Jamaica runs warmer by day in October. Jamaica averages highs of 85°F (highs n=248 days); Nashville averages highs of 73°F (highs n=248 days) (ERA5 2018–2025). Historical averages, not a forecast.
Does it rain more in Jamaica or Nashville in October?
Jamaica is measurably wetter than Nashville. Days with measurable rain: Jamaica 83%, Nashville 31% (n=248 and n=248 days). ERA5 2018–2025; historical, not a forecast.
Which is sunnier in October, Jamaica or Nashville?
Nashville edges out Jamaica for sun in October: 32% clear historically versus 4% (8-year ERA5 average, a 28-point gap). Jamaica also sees measurably more rain than Nashville this month (83% vs 31% of days). Both are viable — Nashville is the safer bet.
Compare Jamaica vs Nashville in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live forecast for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.