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SunnyDays

ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data

Jamaica vs Nashville: weather in July

Essentially a tie in July: Jamaica is 18% clear historically, Nashville is 19% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 87°F vs 89°F. Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast. Either destination can still surprise you this specific July. For the actual forecast right now, each destination links to its live page below.

Jamaica

Jamaica

Clear days, July
18%
Sample size
n=248 days
Avg high
87°F
Early July (1st–15th)
22%
Late July (16th–end)
15%
Rain frequency
58% of days

Nashville

TN

Clear days, July
19%
Sample size
n=248 days
Avg high
89°F
Early July (1st–15th)
24%
Late July (16th–end)
14%
Rain frequency
58% of days

Frequently asked

Is Jamaica or Nashville warmer in July?

Nashville runs warmer by day in July. Jamaica averages highs of 87°F (highs n=248 days); Nashville averages highs of 89°F (highs n=248 days) (ERA5 2018–2025). Historical averages, not a forecast.

Does it rain more in Jamaica or Nashville in July?

Days with measurable rain: Jamaica 58%, Nashville 58% (n=248 and n=248 days). ERA5 2018–2025; historical, not a forecast.

Which is sunnier in July, Jamaica or Nashville?

Essentially a tie in July: Jamaica is 18% clear historically, Nashville is 19% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 87°F vs 89°F. Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.

Compare Jamaica vs Nashville in another month

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live forecast for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.