ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Destin vs Tulum: weather in October
Destin is the clear winner for sun in October: 49% of days historically clear versus just 11% in Tulum — a 38-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Tulum also sees measurably more rain than Destin this month (70% vs 25% of days). This isn't close.
Destin
FL
- Clear days, October
- 49%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 79°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 56%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 43%
- Rain frequency
- 25% of days
Tulum
Mexico
- Clear days, October
- 11%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 86°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 6%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 16%
- Rain frequency
- 70% of days
Frequently asked
Is Destin or Tulum warmer in October?
Tulum runs warmer by day in October. Destin averages highs of 79°F (highs n=248 days); Tulum averages highs of 86°F (highs n=248 days) (ERA5 2018–2025). Historical averages, not a forecast.
Does it rain more in Destin or Tulum in October?
Tulum is measurably wetter than Destin. Days with measurable rain: Destin 25%, Tulum 70% (n=248 and n=248 days). ERA5 2018–2025; historical, not a forecast.
Which is sunnier in October, Destin or Tulum?
Destin is the clear winner for sun in October: 49% of days historically clear versus just 11% in Tulum — a 38-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Tulum also sees measurably more rain than Destin this month (70% vs 25% of days). This isn't close.
Compare Destin vs Tulum in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live forecast for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.