ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Destin vs Tulum: weather in July
Tulum edges out Destin for sun in July: 11% clear historically versus 4% (8-year ERA5 average, a 7-point gap). Destin also sees measurably more rain than Tulum this month (79% vs 52% of days). Both are viable — Tulum is the safer bet.
Destin
FL
- Clear days, July
- 4%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 88°F
- Early July (1st–15th)
- 3%
- Late July (16th–end)
- 5%
- Rain frequency
- 79% of days
Tulum
Mexico
- Clear days, July
- 11%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 88°F
- Early July (1st–15th)
- 13%
- Late July (16th–end)
- 9%
- Rain frequency
- 52% of days
Frequently asked
Is Destin or Tulum warmer in July?
Equally warm by day in July. Destin averages highs of 88°F (highs n=248 days); Tulum averages highs of 88°F (highs n=248 days) (ERA5 2018–2025). Historical averages, not a forecast.
Does it rain more in Destin or Tulum in July?
Destin is measurably wetter than Tulum. Days with measurable rain: Destin 79%, Tulum 52% (n=248 and n=248 days). ERA5 2018–2025; historical, not a forecast.
Which is sunnier in July, Destin or Tulum?
Tulum edges out Destin for sun in July: 11% clear historically versus 4% (8-year ERA5 average, a 7-point gap). Destin also sees measurably more rain than Tulum this month (79% vs 52% of days). Both are viable — Tulum is the safer bet.
Compare Destin vs Tulum in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live forecast for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.