ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Carmel-by-the-Sea vs Taos: weather in July
Taos is the clear winner for sun in July: 48% of days historically clear versus just 1% in Carmel-by-the-Sea — a 47-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Taos also sees measurably more rain than Carmel-by-the-Sea this month (23% vs 0% of days). This isn't close.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific July. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Carmel-by-the-Sea
CA
- Clear days, July
- 1%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 63°F
- Early July (1st–15th)
- 1%
- Late July (16th–end)
- 1%
- Rain frequency
- 0% of days
Taos
NM
- Clear days, July
- 48%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 85°F
- Early July (1st–15th)
- 52%
- Late July (16th–end)
- 45%
- Rain frequency
- 23% of days
Compare Carmel-by-the-Sea vs Taos in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.