ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Austin vs Gulf Shores: weather in October
Essentially a tie in October: Austin is 48% clear historically, Gulf Shores is 47% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 83°F vs 78°F. Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
Austin
TX
- Clear days, October
- 48%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 83°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 62%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 35%
- Rain frequency
- 31% of days
Gulf Shores
AL
- Clear days, October
- 47%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 78°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 55%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 40%
- Rain frequency
- 30% of days
Frequently asked
Is Austin or Gulf Shores warmer in October?
Austin runs warmer by day in October. Austin averages highs of 83°F (highs n=248 days); Gulf Shores averages highs of 78°F (highs n=248 days) (ERA5 2018–2025). Historical averages, not a forecast.
Does it rain more in Austin or Gulf Shores in October?
Days with measurable rain: Austin 31%, Gulf Shores 30% (n=248 and n=248 days). ERA5 2018–2025; historical, not a forecast.
Which is sunnier in October, Austin or Gulf Shores?
Essentially a tie in October: Austin is 48% clear historically, Gulf Shores is 47% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 83°F vs 78°F. Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
Compare Austin vs Gulf Shores in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live forecast for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.