Alabama · PNS

Gulf Shores weather this week

Just your ID

Gulf Shores scores 8.8 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 16. Dull days (4) still outnumber bright ones (1), so this is not a good week.

8.8/10

Mostly dull

1 genuinely clear day, 0 partly cloudy, 4 overcast, 0 wet, 0 stormy — out of 16 forecast days.

Bright days 1 vs dull days 4. Dull wins, so we do not call this a good week.

We are not showing a flattering tier word here. Why the score and the sky can disagree.

The model gives this week 8.8 out of 10 because it is warm and largely rain-free, and those are the two things the score measures. It is not measuring sunshine. With 1 genuinely clear day and 4 dull ones, expect grey skies. We are showing you the number and the contradiction rather than only the number.

5-day window, zero rain — The clouds are winning — 1 clear day out of 5, 87°F

The next 16 days in Gulf Shores

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (49%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Wed 23 Sep–Sun 27 Sep: 8.8/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (8.8) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Gulf Shores daily forecast, Wed 23 Sep to Thu 8 Oct (16 days total). Best single day scores 10.0; worst scores 4.0. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day	High	Low	Rain chance	Sky	Day score
Wed 23 Sep	87°F	72°F	4%	Clear clear	10.0 Clear skies, 87°F, zero drama.
Thu 24 Sep	82°F	73°F	13%	Overcast cloudy	8.4 Overcast, 82°F, dry as a bone.
Fri 25 Sep	82°F	67°F	0%	Overcast cloudy	8.5 Overcast, 82°F, dry as a bone.
Sat 26 Sep	82°F	72°F	0%	Overcast cloudy	8.5 Overcast, 82°F, dry as a bone.
Sun 27 Sep	87°F	74°F	2%	Overcast cloudy	8.5 Overcast, 87°F, dry as a bone.
Mon 28 Sep	86°F	71°F	8%	Rain showers cloudy	5.6 Overcast, 86°F, dry as a bone.
Tue 29 Sep	86°F	77°F	12%	Overcast cloudy	8.4 Overcast, 86°F, dry as a bone.
Wed 30 Sep	82°F	74°F	48%	Drizzle wet	6.2 Drizzle, 82°F — it'll pass.
Thu 1 Oct	77°F	73°F	41%	Rain showers wet	5.6 Rain showers, 77°F — it'll pass.
Fri 2 Oct	84°F	76°F	30%	Rain showers wet	5.6 Rain showers, 84°F — it'll pass.
Sat 3 Oct	85°F	77°F	27%	Thunderstorm storm	4.0 Thunderstorms, 85°F — Mother Nature has opinions.
Sun 4 Oct	81°F	75°F	36%	Thunderstorm storm	4.0 Thunderstorms, 81°F — Mother Nature has opinions.
Mon 5 Oct	82°F	69°F	45%	Overcast cloudy	7.1 Overcast, 82°F, light rain possible.
Tue 6 Oct	74°F	58°F	45%	Clear clear	8.6 Clear skies, 74°F, zero drama.
Wed 7 Oct	77°F	57°F	49%	Clear clear	8.5 Clear skies, 77°F, zero drama.
Thu 8 Oct	79°F	66°F	39%	Light drizzle wet	6.8 Light drizzle, 79°F — it'll pass.

How this week got its score

5 forecast days: 1 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 4 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
Trimmed mean of day scores 8.5 × 0.55 = 4.68
Worst day drag: worst day is 8.4 × 0.25 = 2.10 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 5/5 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
Best single day is 10.0 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Gulf Shores

The nearest airport we price is PNS. From New York City that is about 2h 32m in the air out of EWR, 1014 miles. Then about 54m to drive from PNS (est. 34 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 3h 26m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Gulf Shores

We hold no live hotel rates for Gulf Shores right now, so there is nothing honest to show here. Rates return as soon as the supplier does — the refresh state is on system status.

So, should you go?

Gulf Shores scores 8.8 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 16. Dull days (4) still outnumber bright ones (1), so this is not a good week. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Gulf Shores this week?

No. The current 16-day forecast for Gulf Shores shows no rain or storm days, peaking at 49% chance on the worst day. Cloud is not the dealbreaker here — rain is, and none is forecast.

How many clear days does Gulf Shores have this week?

One. Gulf Shores has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 16.

Is Gulf Shores good for a trip this week?

Marginal. Gulf Shores scores 8.8/10, but dull days (4) still outnumber bright ones (1) this week.

Gulf Shores by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Gulf Shores: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month	Historically clear	Sample (n)
January	0%	n=248	all destinations →
February	3%	n=226	all destinations →
March	10%	n=248	all destinations →
April	30%	n=240	all destinations →
May	35%	n=248	all destinations →
June	16%	n=240	all destinations →
July	9%	n=248	all destinations →
August	14%	n=248	all destinations →
September	32%	n=240	all destinations →
October	47%	n=248	all destinations →
November	22%	n=240	all destinations →
December	2%	n=248	all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Gulf Shores in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-09-24T02:07:50.537610Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.