ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Amelia Island vs Tulum: weather in November
Essentially a tie in November: Amelia Island is 20% clear historically, Tulum is 20% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 71°F vs 84°F. Tulum also sees measurably more rain than Amelia Island this month (52% vs 30% of days). Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
Amelia Island
FL
- Clear days, November
- 20%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 71°F
- Early November (1st–15th)
- 19%
- Late November (16th–end)
- 20%
- Rain frequency
- 30% of days
Tulum
Mexico
- Clear days, November
- 20%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 84°F
- Early November (1st–15th)
- 12%
- Late November (16th–end)
- 27%
- Rain frequency
- 52% of days
Frequently asked
Is Amelia Island or Tulum warmer in November?
Tulum runs warmer by day in November. Amelia Island averages highs of 71°F (highs n=240 days); Tulum averages highs of 84°F (highs n=240 days) (ERA5 2018–2025). Historical averages, not a forecast.
Does it rain more in Amelia Island or Tulum in November?
Tulum is measurably wetter than Amelia Island. Days with measurable rain: Amelia Island 30%, Tulum 52% (n=240 and n=240 days). ERA5 2018–2025; historical, not a forecast.
Which is sunnier in November, Amelia Island or Tulum?
Essentially a tie in November: Amelia Island is 20% clear historically, Tulum is 20% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 71°F vs 84°F. Tulum also sees measurably more rain than Amelia Island this month (52% vs 30% of days). Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
Compare Amelia Island vs Tulum in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live forecast for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.