ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data

Tulum in February

Tulum in February: rain frequency data not yet backfilled for this month, 81°F average high, 23% of days historically clear (n=226, ERA5 2018–2025).

Tulum in February is historically a poor month for sun: only 23% of days clear across 8 years (n=226, avg high 81°F). April is the clearest month for Tulum historically. Historical average, not a forecast.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis, not a forecast. A month that is historically 90% clear can still be overcast on your specific trip. For this week’s actual forecast, see the live Tulum page. Both can be true at once: “historically strong in this month; this particular week is not.” We label which is which.

Early vs. Late February

Clear-sky percentage for Tulum in February, split by half-month. “n” is the number of days sampled across 8 years (2018–2025).
Period	% Clear days	Sample (n)	Avg high
Early February 1st–15th	21%	n=120	81°F
Late February 16th–end	25%	n=106	81°F
Full month average	23%	n=226	81°F

Bottom line

Tulum is mostly overcast in February historically: only 23% of days are clear across 8 years (n=226), avg high 81°F. If you want sun in Tulum, April is historically much better. Most visitors this month will see more clouds than sun.

→ See all destinations in April — historically the best month for sun in Tulum.

Every month in Tulum

Compare across all months with data. Numbers are historical clear-sky %.

Historical clear-sky % for Tulum, all months, ERA5 2018–2025.
Month	% Clear	Sample (n)
January	23%	n=248	All destinations →
February ← this page	23%	n=226	All destinations →
March	28%	n=248	All destinations →
April	30%	n=240	All destinations →
May	16%	n=248	All destinations →
June	6%	n=240	All destinations →
July	11%	n=248	All destinations →
August	8%	n=248	All destinations →
September	4%	n=240	All destinations →
October	11%	n=248	All destinations →
November	20%	n=240	All destinations →
December	21%	n=248	All destinations →

Frequently asked

Is Tulum good for sun in February?

Not usually. Tulum is historically overcast in February: only 23% of days are clear (avg high 81°F, n=226 days, ERA5 2018–2025). April is historically far better for sun here.

→ Tulum live forecast — this week’s actual 7-day weather, not historical
→ Best destinations in February — all destinations ranked by February clear-sky %
→ All destinations
→ Raw data (JSON) — buckets, n, source

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.