ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data

Toronto in October

Toronto in October: rain frequency data not yet backfilled for this month, 60°F average high, 5% of days historically clear (n=248, ERA5 2018–2025).

Toronto in October is historically a poor month for sun: only 5% of days clear across 8 years (n=248, avg high 60°F). August is the clearest month for Toronto historically. Historical average, not a forecast.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis, not a forecast. A month that is historically 90% clear can still be overcast on your specific trip. For this week’s actual forecast, see the live Toronto page. Both can be true at once: “historically strong in this month; this particular week is not.” We label which is which.

Early vs. Late October

Clear-sky percentage for Toronto in October, split by half-month. “n” is the number of days sampled across 8 years (2018–2025).
Period	% Clear days	Sample (n)	Avg high
Early October 1st–15th	9%	n=120	60°F
Late October 16th–end	1%	n=128	60°F
Full month average	5%	n=248	60°F

Bottom line

Toronto is a poor choice for sun in October: just 5% of days clear historically (n=248). August is the historically strongest month for sun here. The 8-year record is consistent — this is not a fluke bad stretch.

→ See all destinations in August — historically the best month for sun in Toronto.

Every month in Toronto

Compare across all months with data. Numbers are historical clear-sky %.

Historical clear-sky % for Toronto, all months, ERA5 2018–2025.
Month	% Clear	Sample (n)
January	0%	n=248	All destinations →
February	0%	n=226	All destinations →
March	0%	n=248	All destinations →
April	1%	n=240	All destinations →
May	13%	n=248	All destinations →
June	30%	n=240	All destinations →
July	34%	n=248	All destinations →
August	36%	n=248	All destinations →
September	25%	n=240	All destinations →
October ← this page	5%	n=248	All destinations →
November	0%	n=240	All destinations →
December	0%	n=248	All destinations →

Frequently asked

Is Toronto good for sun in October?

Not usually. Toronto is historically overcast in October: only 5% of days are clear (avg high 60°F, n=248 days, ERA5 2018–2025). August is historically far better for sun here.

→ Toronto live forecast — this week’s actual 7-day weather, not historical
→ Best destinations in October — all destinations ranked by October clear-sky %
→ All destinations
→ Raw data (JSON) — buckets, n, source

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.