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SunnyDays

ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data

St. Barthélemy in July

St. Barthélemy in July: 47% of days see measurable rain, 83°F average high, 10% of days historically clear (n=248, ERA5 2018–2025).

St. Barthélemy in July is historically a poor month for sun: only 10% of days clear across 8 years (n=248, avg high 83°F). March is the clearest month for St. Barthélemy historically. Historical average, not a forecast.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis, not a forecast. A month that is historically 90% clear can still be overcast on your specific trip. For this week’s actual forecast, see the live St. Barthélemy page. Both can be true at once: “historically strong in this month; this particular week is not.” We label which is which.

Early vs. Late July

Clear-sky percentage for St. Barthélemy in July, split by half-month. “n” is the number of days sampled across 8 years (2018–2025).
Period % Clear days Sample (n) Avg high
Early July
1st–15th		 11% n=120 83°F
Late July
16th–end		 9% n=128 83°F
Full month average 10% n=248 83°F

Sunshine & warmth in July

A second measure using actual sunshine hours (ERA5 sunshine_duration), not the daily weather code. A Lowcountry day with 12 hours of sun and a 25-minute afternoon storm is counted below as a warm, sunny day — because it was. How we define this.

Sunshine-based metrics for St. Barthélemy in July. Primary: % of days ≥ 72°F with > 6 h of sunshine.
Period Warm & sunny (≥72°F, >6 h sun) Sample (n)
Early July
1st–15th		 98% n=120
Late July
16th–end		 98% n=128
Full month average 98% n=248
12.2 h median sunshine per day 98% of days exceed 8 h sunshine 47% of days see ≥ 1 mm rain — rain is not hidden
Comparison (old vs new): WMO-code “clear” bar: 10%. Sunshine-based “warm & sunny”: 98%. The 88-point gap is from brief afternoon convective storms that stamp the whole day as “rain” in the WMO code but leave the bulk of the sunshine untouched.

Bottom line

St. Barthélemy is a poor choice for sun in July: just 10% of days clear historically (n=248). March is the historically strongest month for sun here. The 8-year record is consistent — this is not a fluke bad stretch.

→ See all destinations in March — historically the best month for sun in St. Barthélemy.

Every month in St. Barthélemy

Compare across all months with data. Numbers are historical clear-sky %.

Historical clear-sky % for St. Barthélemy, all months, ERA5 2018–2025.
Month % Clear Sample (n)
January 18% n=248 All destinations →
February 12% n=226 All destinations →
March 29% n=248 All destinations →
April 22% n=240 All destinations →
May 21% n=248 All destinations →
June 19% n=240 All destinations →
July ← this page 10% n=248 All destinations →
August 14% n=248 All destinations →
September 13% n=240 All destinations →
October 20% n=248 All destinations →
November 19% n=240 All destinations →
December 18% n=248 All destinations →

Frequently asked

Does it rain in St. Barthélemy in July?

Sometimes. St. Barthélemy sees measurable rain on 47% of days in July historically (n=248 days, ERA5 2018–2025) — not frequent enough to plan around, but not negligible either.

Is St. Barthélemy good for sun in July?

Not usually. St. Barthélemy is historically overcast in July: only 10% of days are clear (avg high 83°F, n=248 days, ERA5 2018–2025). March is historically far better for sun here.

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.